Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授 43%
蒂亚戈 42%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略 41%
莱拉·多·沃雷 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授
43%
蒂亚戈
42%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
41%
莱拉·多·沃雷
41%
Avenir Rosa
40%
大卫·霍恩
40%
埃丽卡·科卡伊
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos
40%
比娅·基西斯
40%
Marley
40%
米歇尔·博尔索纳罗
40%
罗纳尔多·丰塞卡
39%
赞纳塔
39%
吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授 43%
蒂亚戈 42%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略 41%
莱拉·多·沃雷 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
吉列尔梅·阿莫林教授
$0 交易量
43%
蒂亚戈
$0 交易量
42%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
$0 交易量
41%
莱拉·多·沃雷
$0 交易量
41%
Avenir Rosa
$0 交易量
40%
大卫·霍恩
$0 交易量
40%
埃丽卡·科卡伊
$0 交易量
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 交易量
40%
比娅·基西斯
$0 交易量
40%
Marley
$0 交易量
40%
米歇尔·博尔索纳罗
$0 交易量
40%
罗纳尔多·丰塞卡
$0 交易量
39%
赞纳塔
$0 交易量
39%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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