Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro first-round sentiment due to his established senatorial base and family political network in the state, while national polls show Lula and other contenders remaining competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Crime and security concerns, highlighted by recent police operations, continue to shape voter priorities in the region and support right-leaning candidates. Lula’s incumbency and policy focus on economic programs provide counterbalancing appeal, but fragmented opposition fields including Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos limit clear separation. Upcoming debates and last-minute endorsements could shift regional momentum, reflecting the closely contested nature of the state outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flavio Bolsonaro 44%
Lula 34%
Renan Santos 18%
Ronaldo Caiado 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
44%
Lula
34%
Renan Santos
18%
Ronaldo Caiado
18%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
8%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 44%
Lula 34%
Renan Santos 18%
Ronaldo Caiado 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
$44 交易量
44%
Lula
$0 交易量
34%
Renan Santos
$63 交易量
18%
Ronaldo Caiado
$63 交易量
18%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$176 交易量
8%
Edmilson Costa
$202 交易量
1%
Hertz Dias
$202 交易量
1%
Pablo Marçal
$180 交易量
1%
Zema
$202 交易量
1%
Clariana Barao
$204 交易量
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$202 交易量
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$180 交易量
1%
Samara
$182 交易量
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro first-round sentiment due to his established senatorial base and family political network in the state, while national polls show Lula and other contenders remaining competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Crime and security concerns, highlighted by recent police operations, continue to shape voter priorities in the region and support right-leaning candidates. Lula’s incumbency and policy focus on economic programs provide counterbalancing appeal, but fragmented opposition fields including Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos limit clear separation. Upcoming debates and last-minute endorsements could shift regional momentum, reflecting the closely contested nature of the state outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$1,900结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro first-round sentiment due to his established senatorial base and family political network in the state, while national polls show Lula and other contenders remaining competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Crime and security concerns, highlighted by recent police operations, continue to shape voter priorities in the region and support right-leaning candidates. Lula’s incumbency and policy focus on economic programs provide counterbalancing appeal, but fragmented opposition fields including Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos limit clear separation. Upcoming debates and last-minute endorsements could shift regional momentum, reflecting the closely contested nature of the state outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$1,900结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro first-round sentiment due to his established senatorial base and family political network in the state, while national polls show Lula and other contenders remaining competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Crime and security concerns, highlighted by recent police operations, continue to shape voter priorities in the region and support right-leaning candidates. Lula’s incumbency and policy focus on economic programs provide counterbalancing appeal, but fragmented opposition fields including Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos limit clear separation. Upcoming debates and last-minute endorsements could shift regional momentum, reflecting the closely contested nature of the state outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题