Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding position in Roraima first-round trading reflects the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength and the Bolsonaro family brand in this northern border state. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son as the PL presidential nominee has consolidated conservative support, reinforced by local alliances including Senate candidate Hélio Lopes, who relocated to Roraima with explicit family backing. Roraima's voter base has historically favored right-wing candidates emphasizing security and federal alignment, giving Flavio a structural edge over national figures such as Lula. Recent national polling shows the race tightening overall, yet Roraima-specific dynamics have kept volatility low. Late developments including scandals or shifts in evangelical turnout could narrow margins, though current trader consensus indicates limited pathways for challengers absent major local disruptions before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 95.2%
卢拉 1.6%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔 <1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
95%
卢拉
2%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔
1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
泽马
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 95.2%
卢拉 1.6%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔 <1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$2,711 交易量
95%
卢拉
$487 交易量
2%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔
$363 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
$363 交易量
1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$413 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$444 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$366 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$407 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$363 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$331 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$333 交易量
<1%
泽马
$327 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$334 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding position in Roraima first-round trading reflects the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength and the Bolsonaro family brand in this northern border state. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son as the PL presidential nominee has consolidated conservative support, reinforced by local alliances including Senate candidate Hélio Lopes, who relocated to Roraima with explicit family backing. Roraima's voter base has historically favored right-wing candidates emphasizing security and federal alignment, giving Flavio a structural edge over national figures such as Lula. Recent national polling shows the race tightening overall, yet Roraima-specific dynamics have kept volatility low. Late developments including scandals or shifts in evangelical turnout could narrow margins, though current trader consensus indicates limited pathways for challengers absent major local disruptions before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$7,245结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding position in Roraima first-round trading reflects the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength and the Bolsonaro family brand in this northern border state. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son as the PL presidential nominee has consolidated conservative support, reinforced by local alliances including Senate candidate Hélio Lopes, who relocated to Roraima with explicit family backing. Roraima's voter base has historically favored right-wing candidates emphasizing security and federal alignment, giving Flavio a structural edge over national figures such as Lula. Recent national polling shows the race tightening overall, yet Roraima-specific dynamics have kept volatility low. Late developments including scandals or shifts in evangelical turnout could narrow margins, though current trader consensus indicates limited pathways for challengers absent major local disruptions before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$7,245结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding position in Roraima first-round trading reflects the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength and the Bolsonaro family brand in this northern border state. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son as the PL presidential nominee has consolidated conservative support, reinforced by local alliances including Senate candidate Hélio Lopes, who relocated to Roraima with explicit family backing. Roraima's voter base has historically favored right-wing candidates emphasizing security and federal alignment, giving Flavio a structural edge over national figures such as Lula. Recent national polling shows the race tightening overall, yet Roraima-specific dynamics have kept volatility low. Late developments including scandals or shifts in evangelical turnout could narrow margins, though current trader consensus indicates limited pathways for challengers absent major local disruptions before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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