Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Dr. Fernando Máximo 53%
Sílvia Cristina 20%
Acir Gurgacz 14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Dr. Fernando Máximo
63%
Sílvia Cristina
20%
Acir Gurgacz
14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
11%
Mariana Carvalho
10%
Aires Mota
8%
Engenheiro Thulio
8%
Luis Fernando
8%
Luciana Oliveira
6%
Neidinha
5%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 53%
Sílvia Cristina 20%
Acir Gurgacz 14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$107 交易量
63%
Sílvia Cristina
$60 交易量
20%
Acir Gurgacz
$60 交易量
14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$40 交易量
11%
Mariana Carvalho
$40 交易量
10%
Aires Mota
$71 交易量
8%
Engenheiro Thulio
$94 交易量
8%
Luis Fernando
$40 交易量
8%
Luciana Oliveira
$67 交易量
6%
Neidinha
$90 交易量
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
交易量
$670结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$670结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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