In Rondônia’s 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where second place remains wide open among roughly a dozen pre-candidates. Recent local polling shows federal deputy Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a clear first-place lead, while a tight cluster—including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others—competes for the runner-up spot. The late withdrawal of incumbent Confúcio Moura (MDB) has further opened the second slot by removing one established name. Party realignments, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant challenger continue to sustain the close implied probabilities, with any consolidation of alliances or stronger polling surges likely to shift positioning before the October general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aires Mota 44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 44%
Engenheiro Thulio 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Aires Mota
44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
44%
Engenheiro Thulio
44%
Luciana Oliveira
44%
Mariana Carvalho
44%
Neidinha
44%
Sílvia Cristina
44%
Acir Gurgacz
43%
Luis Fernando
42%
Aires Mota 44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 44%
Engenheiro Thulio 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Aires Mota
$0 交易量
44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$0 交易量
44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$0 交易量
44%
Engenheiro Thulio
$0 交易量
44%
Luciana Oliveira
$0 交易量
44%
Mariana Carvalho
$0 交易量
44%
Neidinha
$0 交易量
44%
Sílvia Cristina
$0 交易量
44%
Acir Gurgacz
$0 交易量
43%
Luis Fernando
$0 交易量
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Rondônia’s 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where second place remains wide open among roughly a dozen pre-candidates. Recent local polling shows federal deputy Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a clear first-place lead, while a tight cluster—including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others—competes for the runner-up spot. The late withdrawal of incumbent Confúcio Moura (MDB) has further opened the second slot by removing one established name. Party realignments, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant challenger continue to sustain the close implied probabilities, with any consolidation of alliances or stronger polling surges likely to shift positioning before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Rondônia’s 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where second place remains wide open among roughly a dozen pre-candidates. Recent local polling shows federal deputy Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a clear first-place lead, while a tight cluster—including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others—competes for the runner-up spot. The late withdrawal of incumbent Confúcio Moura (MDB) has further opened the second slot by removing one established name. Party realignments, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant challenger continue to sustain the close implied probabilities, with any consolidation of alliances or stronger polling surges likely to shift positioning before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Rondônia’s 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where second place remains wide open among roughly a dozen pre-candidates. Recent local polling shows federal deputy Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a clear first-place lead, while a tight cluster—including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others—competes for the runner-up spot. The late withdrawal of incumbent Confúcio Moura (MDB) has further opened the second slot by removing one established name. Party realignments, regional support bases, and the absence of a dominant challenger continue to sustain the close implied probabilities, with any consolidation of alliances or stronger polling surges likely to shift positioning before the October general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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