Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, driven by his re-election bid, recent nomination filing, and endorsements from multiple smaller alliance partners. Opinion polls place his support in the 55–63 percent range against a splintered opposition field that includes Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Fragmentation among opposition groups, combined with the Electoral Commission of Zambia’s clearance of numerous candidates, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate support or reach the 50 percent plus one threshold. These factors explain Hichilema’s elevated implied probability relative to lower-priced alternatives in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哈凯恩德·希奇莱马 79%
布赖恩·蒙杜比莱 15%
弗雷德·姆姆贝 2.2%
$20,698 交易量
$20,698 交易量
2026-08-14
哈凯恩德·希奇莱马
79%
布赖恩·蒙杜比莱
15%
弗雷德·姆姆贝
2%
哈凯恩德·希奇莱马 79%
布赖恩·蒙杜比莱 15%
弗雷德·姆姆贝 2.2%
$20,698 交易量
$20,698 交易量
2026-08-14
哈凯恩德·希奇莱马
$4,107 交易量
79%
布赖恩·蒙杜比莱
$15,510 交易量
15%
弗雷德·姆姆贝
$1,082 交易量
2%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, driven by his re-election bid, recent nomination filing, and endorsements from multiple smaller alliance partners. Opinion polls place his support in the 55–63 percent range against a splintered opposition field that includes Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Fragmentation among opposition groups, combined with the Electoral Commission of Zambia’s clearance of numerous candidates, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate support or reach the 50 percent plus one threshold. These factors explain Hichilema’s elevated implied probability relative to lower-priced alternatives in the market.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
交易量
$20,698结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, driven by his re-election bid, recent nomination filing, and endorsements from multiple smaller alliance partners. Opinion polls place his support in the 55–63 percent range against a splintered opposition field that includes Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Fragmentation among opposition groups, combined with the Electoral Commission of Zambia’s clearance of numerous candidates, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate support or reach the 50 percent plus one threshold. These factors explain Hichilema’s elevated implied probability relative to lower-priced alternatives in the market.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
交易量
$20,698结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, driven by his re-election bid, recent nomination filing, and endorsements from multiple smaller alliance partners. Opinion polls place his support in the 55–63 percent range against a splintered opposition field that includes Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Fragmentation among opposition groups, combined with the Electoral Commission of Zambia’s clearance of numerous candidates, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate support or reach the 50 percent plus one threshold. These factors explain Hichilema’s elevated implied probability relative to lower-priced alternatives in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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