No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late September 2026, leaving the field wide open after the 2024 cycle and keeping "Other" at the top of trader pricing. Potential candidates are testing messages and visiting early primary states ahead of expected post-midterm announcements, with Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gaining visibility as Democratic Governors Association chair through surrogacy work. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has signaled he is "more inclined than not" to run, while California Governor Gavin Newsom has stated he would not challenge Kamala Harris if she enters. These positioning moves and the absence of declarations help explain the relative support for Beshear, Buttigieg, and Newsom among listed options, though the timeline remains fluid until after November midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·贝希尔 23%
皮特·布蒂吉格 22%
加文·纽森 19.3%
罗·卡纳 14%
$11,860 交易量
$11,860 交易量
2028-12-31
安迪·贝希尔
23%
皮特·布蒂吉格
22%
加文·纽森
19%
罗·卡纳
14%
卡玛拉·哈里斯
12%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
9%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
4%
乔恩·斯图尔特
3%
乔恩·奥索夫
2%
乔什·夏皮罗
2%
史蒂芬·A·史密斯
1%
安迪·贝希尔 23%
皮特·布蒂吉格 22%
加文·纽森 19.3%
罗·卡纳 14%
$11,860 交易量
$11,860 交易量
2028-12-31
安迪·贝希尔
$2,077 交易量
23%
皮特·布蒂吉格
$1,564 交易量
22%
加文·纽森
$3,855 交易量
19%
罗·卡纳
$637 交易量
14%
卡玛拉·哈里斯
$623 交易量
12%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
$800 交易量
9%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
$569 交易量
4%
乔恩·斯图尔特
$434 交易量
3%
乔恩·奥索夫
$464 交易量
2%
乔什·夏皮罗
$401 交易量
2%
史蒂芬·A·史密斯
$437 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late September 2026, leaving the field wide open after the 2024 cycle and keeping "Other" at the top of trader pricing. Potential candidates are testing messages and visiting early primary states ahead of expected post-midterm announcements, with Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gaining visibility as Democratic Governors Association chair through surrogacy work. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has signaled he is "more inclined than not" to run, while California Governor Gavin Newsom has stated he would not challenge Kamala Harris if she enters. These positioning moves and the absence of declarations help explain the relative support for Beshear, Buttigieg, and Newsom among listed options, though the timeline remains fluid until after November midterms.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
交易量
$11,860结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late September 2026, leaving the field wide open after the 2024 cycle and keeping "Other" at the top of trader pricing. Potential candidates are testing messages and visiting early primary states ahead of expected post-midterm announcements, with Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gaining visibility as Democratic Governors Association chair through surrogacy work. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has signaled he is "more inclined than not" to run, while California Governor Gavin Newsom has stated he would not challenge Kamala Harris if she enters. These positioning moves and the absence of declarations help explain the relative support for Beshear, Buttigieg, and Newsom among listed options, though the timeline remains fluid until after November midterms.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,860结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETNo Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late September 2026, leaving the field wide open after the 2024 cycle and keeping "Other" at the top of trader pricing. Potential candidates are testing messages and visiting early primary states ahead of expected post-midterm announcements, with Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gaining visibility as Democratic Governors Association chair through surrogacy work. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has signaled he is "more inclined than not" to run, while California Governor Gavin Newsom has stated he would not challenge Kamala Harris if she enters. These positioning moves and the absence of declarations help explain the relative support for Beshear, Buttigieg, and Newsom among listed options, though the timeline remains fluid until after November midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题