Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于赖瑞隆 84%
柯志恩 13.4%
邱议莹 5.6%
许智杰 4.0%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
赖瑞隆
84%
柯志恩
13%
邱议莹
6%
许智杰
4%
林岱华
2%
张竞
1%
赖瑞隆 84%
柯志恩 13.4%
邱议莹 5.6%
许智杰 4.0%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
赖瑞隆
$1,111 交易量
84%
柯志恩
$141 交易量
13%
邱议莹
$86 交易量
6%
许智杰
$140 交易量
4%
林岱华
$88 交易量
2%
张竞
$92 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
交易量
$1,657结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,657结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to consistent polling leads over Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en, who sits at 14.5%. DPP internal primaries in January 2026 confirmed Lai's nomination after he outperformed legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua in head-to-head surveys against Ko. KMT formal selection of Ko occurred in December 2025, yet multiple May and June 2026 polls show Lai ahead across districts and demographics. President William Lai's recent campaign appearances reinforce party unity and resource allocation ahead of the November 28 vote. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party nomination or limited polling support in this single-member contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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