Lula maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Rio Grande do Norte during the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's location in Brazil's Northeast, a traditional base of support for the Workers' Party incumbent seeking a fourth term. National polls show Lula leading with 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos. Regional factors, including alliances with northeastern governors and consistent voter preferences in the area, reinforce this edge. Other listed candidates trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with their single-digit national standing and limited state-level momentum as the campaign intensifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lula 81%
Edmilson Costa 43%
Flavio Bolsonaro 43%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Lula
75%
Edmilson Costa
43%
Flavio Bolsonaro
43%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
42%
Pablo Marçal
42%
Rui Costa Pimenta
42%
Renan Santos
42%
Samara
42%
Ronaldo Caiado
41%
Clariana Barao
40%
Zema
42%
Hertz Dias
42%
Escritor Augusto Cury
43%
Lula 81%
Edmilson Costa 43%
Flavio Bolsonaro 43%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Lula
$174 交易量
75%
Edmilson Costa
$62 交易量
43%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$62 交易量
43%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$62 交易量
42%
Pablo Marçal
$62 交易量
42%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$62 交易量
42%
Renan Santos
$62 交易量
42%
Samara
$62 交易量
42%
Ronaldo Caiado
$62 交易量
41%
Clariana Barao
$62 交易量
40%
Zema
$62 交易量
42%
Hertz Dias
$62 交易量
42%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$62 交易量
43%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Rio Grande do Norte during the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's location in Brazil's Northeast, a traditional base of support for the Workers' Party incumbent seeking a fourth term. National polls show Lula leading with 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos. Regional factors, including alliances with northeastern governors and consistent voter preferences in the area, reinforce this edge. Other listed candidates trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with their single-digit national standing and limited state-level momentum as the campaign intensifies.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$918结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Rio Grande do Norte during the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's location in Brazil's Northeast, a traditional base of support for the Workers' Party incumbent seeking a fourth term. National polls show Lula leading with 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos. Regional factors, including alliances with northeastern governors and consistent voter preferences in the area, reinforce this edge. Other listed candidates trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with their single-digit national standing and limited state-level momentum as the campaign intensifies.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$918结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Rio Grande do Norte during the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's location in Brazil's Northeast, a traditional base of support for the Workers' Party incumbent seeking a fourth term. National polls show Lula leading with 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos. Regional factors, including alliances with northeastern governors and consistent voter preferences in the area, reinforce this edge. Other listed candidates trail at lower implied probabilities, consistent with their single-digit national standing and limited state-level momentum as the campaign intensifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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