Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于若尔吉尼奥·梅洛 91%
马塞洛·布里加代罗 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.6%
若昂·罗德里格斯 2.4%
最新
最新
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛
91%
马塞洛·布里加代罗
6%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
若昂·罗德里格斯
2%
Gelson Merisio
2%
阿德里亚诺·席尔瓦
2%
德西奥·利马
1%
马科斯·维埃拉
<1%
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛 91%
马塞洛·布里加代罗 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.6%
若昂·罗德里格斯 2.4%
最新
最新
若尔吉尼奥·梅洛
$4,931 交易量
91%
马塞洛·布里加代罗
$1,051 交易量
6%
Afrânio Boppré
$445 交易量
3%
若昂·罗德里格斯
$365 交易量
2%
Gelson Merisio
$542 交易量
2%
阿德里亚诺·席尔瓦
$403 交易量
2%
德西奥·利马
$511 交易量
1%
马科斯·维埃拉
$461 交易量
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
交易量
$8,667市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$8,667市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题