PL maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Brazilian Senate race because its candidates lead or remain competitive in multiple states renewing 54 of the 81 seats on October 4. Recent state-level surveys highlight strong showings in key districts including the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, and Santa Catarina, supported by high-profile names tied to the Liberal Party. The April desincompatibilização deadline locked in robust opposition slates, while the Senate’s rejection of a presidential Supreme Court nominee underscored institutional resistance. In a fragmented field, PSDB and other mid-tier parties hold localized advantages in select states but lack comparable geographic breadth, leaving trader pricing anchored to PL’s structural edge ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于自由党（PL） 80%
进步党（PP） 6.2%
巴西联盟党（UNIÃO） 3.7%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 2.9%
$14,114 交易量
$14,114 交易量
2026-10-04
自由党（PL）
80%
进步党（PP）
6%
巴西联盟党（UNIÃO）
4%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
3%
NOVO
2%
巴西社会党（PSB）
2%
巴西民主工党（PDT）
2%
巴西社会民主党（PSDB）
2%
劳工党（PT）
2%
社会民主党（PSD）
2%
共和党
1%
PODEMOS
1%
自由党（PL） 80%
进步党（PP） 6.2%
巴西联盟党（UNIÃO） 3.7%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 2.9%
$14,114 交易量
$14,114 交易量
2026-10-04
自由党（PL）
$3,060 交易量
80%
进步党（PP）
$588 交易量
6%
巴西联盟党（UNIÃO）
$606 交易量
4%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
$696 交易量
3%
NOVO
$581 交易量
2%
巴西社会党（PSB）
$606 交易量
2%
巴西民主工党（PDT）
$4,076 交易量
2%
巴西社会民主党（PSDB）
$779 交易量
2%
劳工党（PT）
$839 交易量
2%
社会民主党（PSD）
$842 交易量
2%
共和党
$618 交易量
1%
PODEMOS
$824 交易量
1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Brazilian Senate race because its candidates lead or remain competitive in multiple states renewing 54 of the 81 seats on October 4. Recent state-level surveys highlight strong showings in key districts including the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, and Santa Catarina, supported by high-profile names tied to the Liberal Party. The April desincompatibilização deadline locked in robust opposition slates, while the Senate’s rejection of a presidential Supreme Court nominee underscored institutional resistance. In a fragmented field, PSDB and other mid-tier parties hold localized advantages in select states but lack comparable geographic breadth, leaving trader pricing anchored to PL’s structural edge ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$14,114结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Brazilian Senate race because its candidates lead or remain competitive in multiple states renewing 54 of the 81 seats on October 4. Recent state-level surveys highlight strong showings in key districts including the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, and Santa Catarina, supported by high-profile names tied to the Liberal Party. The April desincompatibilização deadline locked in robust opposition slates, while the Senate’s rejection of a presidential Supreme Court nominee underscored institutional resistance. In a fragmented field, PSDB and other mid-tier parties hold localized advantages in select states but lack comparable geographic breadth, leaving trader pricing anchored to PL’s structural edge ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
交易量
$14,114结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PL maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Brazilian Senate race because its candidates lead or remain competitive in multiple states renewing 54 of the 81 seats on October 4. Recent state-level surveys highlight strong showings in key districts including the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, and Santa Catarina, supported by high-profile names tied to the Liberal Party. The April desincompatibilização deadline locked in robust opposition slates, while the Senate’s rejection of a presidential Supreme Court nominee underscored institutional resistance. In a fragmented field, PSDB and other mid-tier parties hold localized advantages in select states but lack comparable geographic breadth, leaving trader pricing anchored to PL’s structural edge ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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