The crowded field of more than ten declared candidates for Vancouver's October 17 mayoral election has fragmented the vote and kept trader probabilities tightly clustered between Kareem Allam at 41.5 percent and incumbent Ken Sim at 33.5 percent. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff now leading the new Vancouver Liberals party, draws support from moderates seeking an alternative to ABC Vancouver governance while benefiting from early organizational momentum. Sim maintains a solid base through incumbency and recent fiscal measures including a zero percent property tax increase. Progressive candidates such as Pete Fry of the Greens and William Azaroff of OneCity remain in the mid-teens or lower, with ongoing coordination talks among COPE, Greens, and OneCity yet to consolidate behind a single challenger ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡里姆·阿拉姆 42%
肯·沈 34%
皮特·弗莱 15.0%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$67,176 交易量
$67,176 交易量
卡里姆·阿拉姆
42%
肯·沈
34%
皮特·弗莱
15%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%
科琳·哈德威克
2%
约翰·库帕
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
肖恩·奥尔
1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 42%
肯·沈 34%
皮特·弗莱 15.0%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$67,176 交易量
$67,176 交易量
卡里姆·阿拉姆
42%
肯·沈
34%
皮特·弗莱
15%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%
科琳·哈德威克
2%
约翰·库帕
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
肖恩·奥尔
1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than ten declared candidates for Vancouver's October 17 mayoral election has fragmented the vote and kept trader probabilities tightly clustered between Kareem Allam at 41.5 percent and incumbent Ken Sim at 33.5 percent. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff now leading the new Vancouver Liberals party, draws support from moderates seeking an alternative to ABC Vancouver governance while benefiting from early organizational momentum. Sim maintains a solid base through incumbency and recent fiscal measures including a zero percent property tax increase. Progressive candidates such as Pete Fry of the Greens and William Azaroff of OneCity remain in the mid-teens or lower, with ongoing coordination talks among COPE, Greens, and OneCity yet to consolidate behind a single challenger ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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