Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$70,585 交易量
$70,585 交易量
2026-11-03
Democrat
76%
Republican
23%
$70,585 交易量
$70,585 交易量
2026-11-03
Democrat
$12,873 交易量
76%
Republican
$57,713 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$70,585结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$70,585结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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