Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 79.5%, reflecting recent TIPP Insights polls from late March 2026 showing leading Democratic primary contenders Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley edging frontrunning Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany by 2-3 points in hypothetical general election matchups amid high undecideds. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers declined a third term in July 2025, leaving a crowded Democratic primary field of nine candidates fragmented per Marquette surveys (e.g., Francesca Hong 14%, Barnes 11% in March), while Tiffany commands 40-65% in GOP polls post-Trump endorsement and rival dropouts. With August 11 primaries approaching, traders price in Democratic consolidation advantages and historical state-level wins despite toss-up ratings from forecasters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,312 交易量
$69,312 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
80%
共和党
20%
$69,312 交易量
$69,312 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,244 交易量
80%
共和党
$57,068 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 79.5%, reflecting recent TIPP Insights polls from late March 2026 showing leading Democratic primary contenders Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley edging frontrunning Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany by 2-3 points in hypothetical general election matchups amid high undecideds. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers declined a third term in July 2025, leaving a crowded Democratic primary field of nine candidates fragmented per Marquette surveys (e.g., Francesca Hong 14%, Barnes 11% in March), while Tiffany commands 40-65% in GOP polls post-Trump endorsement and rival dropouts. With August 11 primaries approaching, traders price in Democratic consolidation advantages and historical state-level wins despite toss-up ratings from forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$69,312结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 79.5%, reflecting recent TIPP Insights polls from late March 2026 showing leading Democratic primary contenders Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley edging frontrunning Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany by 2-3 points in hypothetical general election matchups amid high undecideds. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers declined a third term in July 2025, leaving a crowded Democratic primary field of nine candidates fragmented per Marquette surveys (e.g., Francesca Hong 14%, Barnes 11% in March), while Tiffany commands 40-65% in GOP polls post-Trump endorsement and rival dropouts. With August 11 primaries approaching, traders price in Democratic consolidation advantages and historical state-level wins despite toss-up ratings from forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$69,312结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 79.5%, reflecting recent TIPP Insights polls from late March 2026 showing leading Democratic primary contenders Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, and David Crowley edging frontrunning Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany by 2-3 points in hypothetical general election matchups amid high undecideds. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers declined a third term in July 2025, leaving a crowded Democratic primary field of nine candidates fragmented per Marquette surveys (e.g., Francesca Hong 14%, Barnes 11% in March), while Tiffany commands 40-65% in GOP polls post-Trump endorsement and rival dropouts. With August 11 primaries approaching, traders price in Democratic consolidation advantages and historical state-level wins despite toss-up ratings from forecasters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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