Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基民盟 33%
德国选择党 33%
格林党 33%
SPD 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
基民盟
33%
德国选择党
33%
格林党
33%
SPD
33%
自民党
33%
Linke
33%
FW
33%
BSW
33%
基民盟 33%
德国选择党 33%
格林党 33%
SPD 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
基民盟
$0 交易量
33%
德国选择党
$0 交易量
33%
格林党
$0 交易量
33%
SPD
$0 交易量
33%
自民党
$0 交易量
33%
Linke
$0 交易量
33%
FW
$0 交易量
33%
BSW
$0 交易量
33%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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