Skip to main content
icon for 奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者

奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者

icon for 奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者

奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者

乌尔夫·普朗格 43%

雅沙·罗尔 43%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 43%

海克·博尔特 43%

Polymarket
最新

乌尔夫·普朗格 43%

雅沙·罗尔 43%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 43%

海克·博尔特 43%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 乌尔夫·普朗格

乌尔夫·普朗格

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 雅沙·罗尔

雅沙·罗尔

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 海克·博尔特

海克·博尔特

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯

霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 雅库普·卡斯图尔

雅库普·卡斯图尔

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Byanca Küßner

Byanca Küßner

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 迈克尔·斯蒂勒

迈克尔·斯蒂勒

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 拉尔夫·布茨因

拉尔夫·布茨因

$0 交易量

43%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"乌尔夫·普朗格",概率为 43%,其次是"雅沙·罗尔",概率为 43%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"乌尔夫·普朗格",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"雅沙·罗尔",概率为 43%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥尔登堡市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。