Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2 percent in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5 percent, with no candidate reaching the absolute majority required for outright victory. The nine-candidate field produced a clear two-way contest for the September 27 Stichwahl, where Prange benefits from SPD organizational strength and a modest edge in initial support. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails in trader pricing despite cross-party endorsement. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and independents align with their single-digit shares and elimination from the runoff. The elevated turnout and decisive first-round split have reinforced Prange's position in the brief campaign window ahead of the final vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于乌尔夫·普朗格 82%
雅沙·罗尔 14%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 <1%
海克·博尔特 <1%
$21,666 交易量
$21,666 交易量
2026-09-13
乌尔夫·普朗格
78%
雅沙·罗尔
16%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
<1%
海克·博尔特
<1%
霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
<1%
雅库普·卡斯图尔
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
迈克尔·斯蒂勒
<1%
拉尔夫·布茨因
<1%
乌尔夫·普朗格 82%
雅沙·罗尔 14%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 <1%
海克·博尔特 <1%
$21,666 交易量
$21,666 交易量
2026-09-13
乌尔夫·普朗格
$8,757 交易量
78%
雅沙·罗尔
$6,392 交易量
16%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
$971 交易量
<1%
海克·博尔特
$881 交易量
<1%
霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
$712 交易量
<1%
雅库普·卡斯图尔
$517 交易量
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 交易量
<1%
迈克尔·斯蒂勒
$1,134 交易量
<1%
拉尔夫·布茨因
$1,219 交易量
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2 percent in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5 percent, with no candidate reaching the absolute majority required for outright victory. The nine-candidate field produced a clear two-way contest for the September 27 Stichwahl, where Prange benefits from SPD organizational strength and a modest edge in initial support. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails in trader pricing despite cross-party endorsement. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and independents align with their single-digit shares and elimination from the runoff. The elevated turnout and decisive first-round split have reinforced Prange's position in the brief campaign window ahead of the final vote.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
交易量
$21,666结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETThe next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2 percent in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5 percent, with no candidate reaching the absolute majority required for outright victory. The nine-candidate field produced a clear two-way contest for the September 27 Stichwahl, where Prange benefits from SPD organizational strength and a modest edge in initial support. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails in trader pricing despite cross-party endorsement. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and independents align with their single-digit shares and elimination from the runoff. The elevated turnout and decisive first-round split have reinforced Prange's position in the brief campaign window ahead of the final vote.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
交易量
$21,666结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETUlf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2 percent in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5 percent, with no candidate reaching the absolute majority required for outright victory. The nine-candidate field produced a clear two-way contest for the September 27 Stichwahl, where Prange benefits from SPD organizational strength and a modest edge in initial support. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails in trader pricing despite cross-party endorsement. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and independents align with their single-digit shares and elimination from the runoff. The elevated turnout and decisive first-round split have reinforced Prange's position in the brief campaign window ahead of the final vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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