Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral market at 71.5% after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. Rohr, backed by both the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, trails at 28.5% amid trader reassessment of runoff dynamics on September 27. Prange’s edge stems from stronger SPD base turnout and his profile as a long-serving local councilor and state legislator, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition failed to consolidate enough support for a first-round majority. No other candidate exceeded 13%, aligning with their limited 0.1–50% market pricing and narrow party or independent bases. The market reflects the two-candidate runoff structure required under German municipal rules when no contender clears 50% initially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于乌尔夫·普朗格 78%
雅沙·罗尔 20%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 <1%
海克·博尔特 <1%
$21,526 交易量
$21,526 交易量

乌尔夫·普朗格
78%

雅沙·罗尔
20%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
<1%

海克·博尔特
<1%

霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
<1%

雅库普·卡斯图尔
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

迈克尔·斯蒂勒
<1%

拉尔夫·布茨因
<1%
乌尔夫·普朗格 78%
雅沙·罗尔 20%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 <1%
海克·博尔特 <1%
$21,526 交易量
$21,526 交易量

乌尔夫·普朗格
78%

雅沙·罗尔
20%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
<1%

海克·博尔特
<1%

霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
<1%

雅库普·卡斯图尔
<1%

Byanca Küßner
<1%

迈克尔·斯蒂勒
<1%

拉尔夫·布茨因
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral market at 71.5% after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. Rohr, backed by both the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, trails at 28.5% amid trader reassessment of runoff dynamics on September 27. Prange’s edge stems from stronger SPD base turnout and his profile as a long-serving local councilor and state legislator, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition failed to consolidate enough support for a first-round majority. No other candidate exceeded 13%, aligning with their limited 0.1–50% market pricing and narrow party or independent bases. The market reflects the two-candidate runoff structure required under German municipal rules when no contender clears 50% initially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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