The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于乌尔夫·普朗格 43%
雅沙·罗尔 43%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 43%
海克·博尔特 43%

乌尔夫·普朗格
43%

雅沙·罗尔
43%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
43%

海克·博尔特
43%

霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
43%

雅库普·卡斯图尔
43%

Byanca Küßner
43%

迈克尔·斯蒂勒
43%

拉尔夫·布茨因
43%
乌尔夫·普朗格 43%
雅沙·罗尔 43%
塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希 43%
海克·博尔特 43%

乌尔夫·普朗格
43%

雅沙·罗尔
43%

塞巴斯蒂安·弗勒利希
43%

海克·博尔特
43%

霍尔格·马丁·威尔肯斯
43%

雅库普·卡斯图尔
43%

Byanca Küßner
43%

迈克尔·斯蒂勒
43%

拉尔夫·布茨因
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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