Recent polling averages place the AfD at 40-42 percent in Sachsen-Anhalt, well ahead of the CDU on 22-23 percent, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained double-digit lead, consistent across multiple institutes through late August 2026, has solidified trader consensus that the AfD will finish first in the September 6 Landtag election. Voter preferences in the eastern state, combined with the short remaining campaign window and limited undecided share, have left little room for reversal. A dramatic late swing in turnout or preference among the roughly 10 percent still open to change could theoretically allow the CDU to close the gap, though current evidence shows no such movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 99.3%
基民盟 <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$890,139 交易量
$890,139 交易量

AfD
99%

基民盟
1%

左翼党
<1%

BSW
<1%

自民党(FDP)
<1%

社民党
<1%

绿党
<1%
AfD 99.3%
基民盟 <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$890,139 交易量
$890,139 交易量

AfD
99%

基民盟
1%

左翼党
<1%

BSW
<1%

自民党(FDP)
<1%

社民党
<1%

绿党
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Recent polling averages place the AfD at 40-42 percent in Sachsen-Anhalt, well ahead of the CDU on 22-23 percent, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained double-digit lead, consistent across multiple institutes through late August 2026, has solidified trader consensus that the AfD will finish first in the September 6 Landtag election. Voter preferences in the eastern state, combined with the short remaining campaign window and limited undecided share, have left little room for reversal. A dramatic late swing in turnout or preference among the roughly 10 percent still open to change could theoretically allow the CDU to close the gap, though current evidence shows no such movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题