Recent polls show the AfD gaining ground in Berlin ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election, with support reaching 17–19% in surveys from July and early August, occasionally placing first or in a tight race with the CDU, Linke, and Greens. This reflects broader national momentum for the party, including leads in concurrent eastern state contests in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where the AfD is positioned for strong results or outright majorities. Trader consensus around 29–31 seats aligns with current vote-share projections in a parliament of roughly 147 seats, subject to the 5% threshold and proportional allocation. Late shifts in turnout among eastern districts or responses to national government actions could still adjust final seat totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于29-31 37%
32-34 17%
26-28 14%
35+ 12.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
6%
20-22
6%
23-25
10%
26-28
15%
29-31
37%
32-34
20%
35+
12%
29-31 37%
32-34 17%
26-28 14%
35+ 12.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
$884 交易量
6%
20-22
$1,451 交易量
6%
23-25
$781 交易量
10%
26-28
$563 交易量
15%
29-31
$285 交易量
37%
32-34
$187 交易量
20%
35+
$363 交易量
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show the AfD gaining ground in Berlin ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election, with support reaching 17–19% in surveys from July and early August, occasionally placing first or in a tight race with the CDU, Linke, and Greens. This reflects broader national momentum for the party, including leads in concurrent eastern state contests in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where the AfD is positioned for strong results or outright majorities. Trader consensus around 29–31 seats aligns with current vote-share projections in a parliament of roughly 147 seats, subject to the 5% threshold and proportional allocation. Late shifts in turnout among eastern districts or responses to national government actions could still adjust final seat totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,513结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show the AfD gaining ground in Berlin ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election, with support reaching 17–19% in surveys from July and early August, occasionally placing first or in a tight race with the CDU, Linke, and Greens. This reflects broader national momentum for the party, including leads in concurrent eastern state contests in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where the AfD is positioned for strong results or outright majorities. Trader consensus around 29–31 seats aligns with current vote-share projections in a parliament of roughly 147 seats, subject to the 5% threshold and proportional allocation. Late shifts in turnout among eastern districts or responses to national government actions could still adjust final seat totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$4,513结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the AfD gaining ground in Berlin ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election, with support reaching 17–19% in surveys from July and early August, occasionally placing first or in a tight race with the CDU, Linke, and Greens. This reflects broader national momentum for the party, including leads in concurrent eastern state contests in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where the AfD is positioned for strong results or outright majorities. Trader consensus around 29–31 seats aligns with current vote-share projections in a parliament of roughly 147 seats, subject to the 5% threshold and proportional allocation. Late shifts in turnout among eastern districts or responses to national government actions could still adjust final seat totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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