Skip to main content
icon for 多伦多市长选举获胜者
政治·加拿大

多伦多市长选举获胜者

icon for 多伦多市长选举获胜者
政治·加拿大

多伦多市长选举获胜者

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 1.9%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$29,686 交易量

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 1.9%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$29,686 交易量

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,293 交易量

79%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$8,943 交易量

20%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 交易量

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,924 交易量

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$1,699 交易量

1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 交易量

<1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$2,931 交易量

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, mayoral election, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over challengers. A Liaison Strategies survey on April 17 showed Chow at 46% support among decided voters, ahead of Ward 11 Councillor Brad Bradford's 35%, with others like Anthony Furey distant at 11%; Bradford's recent gains reflect his early nomination filing after May 1 opening, positioning him as the primary alternative at 19.5%. Undecided voters and former Mayor John Tory's March withdrawal have solidified Chow's edge, though the crowded field and August 21 nomination deadline leave room for shifts amid Toronto's first-past-the-post system.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
交易量
$29,686
结束日期
2026-10-26
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, mayoral election, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over challengers. A Liaison Strategies survey on April 17 showed Chow at 46% support among decided voters, ahead of Ward 11 Councillor Brad Bradford's 35%, with others like Anthony Furey distant at 11%; Bradford's recent gains reflect his early nomination filing after May 1 opening, positioning him as the primary alternative at 19.5%. Undecided voters and former Mayor John Tory's March withdrawal have solidified Chow's edge, though the crowded field and August 21 nomination deadline leave room for shifts amid Toronto's first-past-the-post system.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
交易量
$29,686
结束日期
2026-10-26
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"多伦多市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Olivia Chow"，概率为 79%，其次是"Brad Bradford"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 79¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"多伦多市长选举获胜者"已产生 $29.7K 的总交易量（自Apr 1, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"多伦多市长选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"多伦多市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"Olivia Chow"，概率为 79%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 79%。紧随其后的结果是"Brad Bradford"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"多伦多市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。