The tight race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) for Bahia governor stems from a 2022 rematch now shaped by recent polling shifts and local dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized in the mid-50s percent range on education and infrastructure, narrowing Neto’s earlier lead as municipal leaders who backed the challenger in 2022 have shifted support. A recent debate highlighted differences on public safety and state management, while national political realignments after União’s break with the federal government add context without decisive local impact. Multiple August surveys show the pair separated by just a few points within margins of error, sustaining trader consensus around even odds and leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to widen the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于ACM Neto 48%
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯 47%
克莱伯·罗萨 <1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚 <1%
$107,742 交易量
$107,742 交易量
2026-10-04
ACM Neto
48%
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯
47%
克莱伯·罗萨
<1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚
<1%
若昂·罗马
<1%
布鲁诺·苏亚雷斯·雷斯
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯 47%
克莱伯·罗萨 <1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚 <1%
$107,742 交易量
$107,742 交易量
2026-10-04
ACM Neto
$35,900 交易量
48%
杰罗尼莫·罗德里格斯
$34,663 交易量
47%
克莱伯·罗萨
$11,407 交易量
<1%
若泽·卡洛斯·阿勒路亚
$9,514 交易量
<1%
若昂·罗马
$5,186 交易量
<1%
布鲁诺·苏亚雷斯·雷斯
$5,325 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔
$5,747 交易量
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) for Bahia governor stems from a 2022 rematch now shaped by recent polling shifts and local dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized in the mid-50s percent range on education and infrastructure, narrowing Neto’s earlier lead as municipal leaders who backed the challenger in 2022 have shifted support. A recent debate highlighted differences on public safety and state management, while national political realignments after União’s break with the federal government add context without decisive local impact. Multiple August surveys show the pair separated by just a few points within margins of error, sustaining trader consensus around even odds and leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to widen the gap.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$107,742结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) for Bahia governor stems from a 2022 rematch now shaped by recent polling shifts and local dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized in the mid-50s percent range on education and infrastructure, narrowing Neto’s earlier lead as municipal leaders who backed the challenger in 2022 have shifted support. A recent debate highlighted differences on public safety and state management, while national political realignments after União’s break with the federal government add context without decisive local impact. Multiple August surveys show the pair separated by just a few points within margins of error, sustaining trader consensus around even odds and leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to widen the gap.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$107,742结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) for Bahia governor stems from a 2022 rematch now shaped by recent polling shifts and local dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized in the mid-50s percent range on education and infrastructure, narrowing Neto’s earlier lead as municipal leaders who backed the challenger in 2022 have shifted support. A recent debate highlighted differences on public safety and state management, while national political realignments after União’s break with the federal government add context without decisive local impact. Multiple August surveys show the pair separated by just a few points within margins of error, sustaining trader consensus around even odds and leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to widen the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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