Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus in the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race due to his official nomination by the PL in late July, strong showings in several polls including leads of 34% versus 30% in Paraná Pesquisas and higher margins in Brasmarket surveys, and positioning as the main opposition challenger in a polarized contest. Juliana Brizola (PDT) remains competitive at 22-30% in recent Quaest and other polls, reflecting left-wing support and technical ties in first-round scenarios, while Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the incumbent's centrist coalition, trails with single-digit to low-teen figures. Minor candidates show negligible support. The first-round vote on October 4 and runoff dynamics, alongside national political alignments, continue to shape positioning as campaigns intensify ahead of the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Luciano Zucco 62%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$89,935 交易量
$89,935 交易量
2026-10-04
Luciano Zucco
62%
Juliana Brizola
36%
Gabriel Souza
4%
Marcelo Maranata
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 62%
Juliana Brizola 36%
Gabriel Souza 4.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$89,935 交易量
$89,935 交易量
2026-10-04
Luciano Zucco
$39,688 交易量
62%
Juliana Brizola
$32,418 交易量
36%
Gabriel Souza
$9,082 交易量
4%
Marcelo Maranata
$6,330 交易量
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,418 交易量
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus in the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race due to his official nomination by the PL in late July, strong showings in several polls including leads of 34% versus 30% in Paraná Pesquisas and higher margins in Brasmarket surveys, and positioning as the main opposition challenger in a polarized contest. Juliana Brizola (PDT) remains competitive at 22-30% in recent Quaest and other polls, reflecting left-wing support and technical ties in first-round scenarios, while Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the incumbent's centrist coalition, trails with single-digit to low-teen figures. Minor candidates show negligible support. The first-round vote on October 4 and runoff dynamics, alongside national political alignments, continue to shape positioning as campaigns intensify ahead of the election.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$89,935结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus in the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race due to his official nomination by the PL in late July, strong showings in several polls including leads of 34% versus 30% in Paraná Pesquisas and higher margins in Brasmarket surveys, and positioning as the main opposition challenger in a polarized contest. Juliana Brizola (PDT) remains competitive at 22-30% in recent Quaest and other polls, reflecting left-wing support and technical ties in first-round scenarios, while Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the incumbent's centrist coalition, trails with single-digit to low-teen figures. Minor candidates show negligible support. The first-round vote on October 4 and runoff dynamics, alongside national political alignments, continue to shape positioning as campaigns intensify ahead of the election.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$89,935结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus in the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race due to his official nomination by the PL in late July, strong showings in several polls including leads of 34% versus 30% in Paraná Pesquisas and higher margins in Brasmarket surveys, and positioning as the main opposition challenger in a polarized contest. Juliana Brizola (PDT) remains competitive at 22-30% in recent Quaest and other polls, reflecting left-wing support and technical ties in first-round scenarios, while Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the incumbent's centrist coalition, trails with single-digit to low-teen figures. Minor candidates show negligible support. The first-round vote on October 4 and runoff dynamics, alongside national political alignments, continue to shape positioning as campaigns intensify ahead of the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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