Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Zucco gaining two points since August. The October 4 vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, features seven candidates, though Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 12.9% and the remainder register under 4%. Zucco's federal deputy role and PL backing contrast with Brizola's PDT-PT alliance and family political legacy in the state. Campaigns have focused heavily on the Porto Alegre metro area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Zucco the highest implied probability of ultimately winning the governorship.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Luciano Zucco 67%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 1.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$107,493 交易量
$107,493 交易量
2026-10-03
Luciano Zucco
67%
Juliana Brizola
32%
Gabriel Souza
1%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 67%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 1.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$107,493 交易量
$107,493 交易量
2026-10-03
Luciano Zucco
$48,872 交易量
67%
Juliana Brizola
$37,050 交易量
32%
Gabriel Souza
$11,196 交易量
1%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,278 交易量
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$3,098 交易量
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Zucco gaining two points since August. The October 4 vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, features seven candidates, though Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 12.9% and the remainder register under 4%. Zucco's federal deputy role and PL backing contrast with Brizola's PDT-PT alliance and family political legacy in the state. Campaigns have focused heavily on the Porto Alegre metro area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Zucco the highest implied probability of ultimately winning the governorship.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$107,493结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETThe Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Zucco gaining two points since August. The October 4 vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, features seven candidates, though Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 12.9% and the remainder register under 4%. Zucco's federal deputy role and PL backing contrast with Brizola's PDT-PT alliance and family political legacy in the state. Campaigns have focused heavily on the Porto Alegre metro area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Zucco the highest implied probability of ultimately winning the governorship.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$107,493结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRecent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Zucco gaining two points since August. The October 4 vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, features seven candidates, though Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 12.9% and the remainder register under 4%. Zucco's federal deputy role and PL backing contrast with Brizola's PDT-PT alliance and family political legacy in the state. Campaigns have focused heavily on the Porto Alegre metro area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Zucco the highest implied probability of ultimately winning the governorship.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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