The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 41%
法比奥·特拉德 41%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 41%
爱杜阿多·里德尔 40%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
41%
法比奥·特拉德
41%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
41%
爱杜阿多·里德尔
40%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
39%
卢西恩·雷森德
39%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
38%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 41%
法比奥·特拉德 41%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 41%
爱杜阿多·里德尔 40%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
$0 交易量
41%
法比奥·特拉德
$0 交易量
41%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
$0 交易量
41%
爱杜阿多·里德尔
$0 交易量
40%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
$0 交易量
39%
卢西恩·雷森德
$0 交易量
39%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
$0 交易量
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
$0 交易量
38%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race remains fragmented with no candidate holding a decisive edge in trader pricing, as an incumbent from the PP faces multiple challengers including figures from the PT and Novo amid the early official campaign period. Recent August polling averages show Eduardo Riedel leading first-round intentions near 44-46% with a runoff advantage, yet Fábio Trad and others register notable support while additional names fragment the field further. This structure sustains dispersed probabilities, as traders weigh incumbency effects, coalition-building potential, and turnout dynamics in a state election scheduled for October. Upcoming street-level campaigning and any shifts in alliances or polling could consolidate support and alter implied probabilities before the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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