The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 election, with no candidate establishing a decisive edge in trader assessments. Recent polls show Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading at around 34% in stimulated scenarios, followed by incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26% and Doutora Natasha (PSD) at 13%, amid a fragmented field that includes Mauricio Coelho, Rafaell Milas, and Sargento Laudicério. High undecided shares and ongoing coalition negotiations in a state centered on agribusiness continue to sustain uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge from voter consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in party alignments over the coming weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 45%
娜塔莎博士 45%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯 45%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯 44%

萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
45%

娜塔莎博士
45%

拉法埃尔·米拉斯
45%

韦灵顿·法贡德斯
44%

毛里西奥·科埃略
44%

奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
43%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 45%
娜塔莎博士 45%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯 45%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯 44%

萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
45%

娜塔莎博士
45%

拉法埃尔·米拉斯
45%

韦灵顿·法贡德斯
44%

毛里西奥·科埃略
44%

奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 election, with no candidate establishing a decisive edge in trader assessments. Recent polls show Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading at around 34% in stimulated scenarios, followed by incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26% and Doutora Natasha (PSD) at 13%, amid a fragmented field that includes Mauricio Coelho, Rafaell Milas, and Sargento Laudicério. High undecided shares and ongoing coalition negotiations in a state centered on agribusiness continue to sustain uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge from voter consolidation, campaign momentum, or shifts in party alignments over the coming weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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