The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安德烈·蒙泰罗 34%
马科斯·迪亚斯 33%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 31%
Ó Clemente 29%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
安德烈·蒙泰罗
34%
马科斯·迪亚斯
33%
马塞洛·克里韦拉
31%
Ó Clemente
29%
卢西亚诺·马托斯
17%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
14%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
14%
Helio Secco
12%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
11%
佩德罗·保罗
11%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
11%
瓦吉尼奥
11%
米歇利·哈维尔
8%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
7%
Luiz Eugenio
6%
保拉·法尔考
6%
安德烈·蒙泰罗 34%
马科斯·迪亚斯 33%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 31%
Ó Clemente 29%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
安德烈·蒙泰罗
$41 交易量
34%
马科斯·迪亚斯
$41 交易量
33%
马塞洛·克里韦拉
$41 交易量
31%
Ó Clemente
$41 交易量
29%
卢西亚诺·马托斯
$41 交易量
17%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
$61 交易量
14%
莫妮卡·贝尼西奥
$61 交易量
14%
Helio Secco
$62 交易量
12%
卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
$41 交易量
11%
佩德罗·保罗
$41 交易量
11%
维尼修斯·贝内维德斯
$41 交易量
11%
瓦吉尼奥
$41 交易量
11%
米歇利·哈维尔
$78 交易量
8%
卡洛斯·乔尔迪
$41 交易量
7%
Luiz Eugenio
$80 交易量
6%
保拉·法尔考
$41 交易量
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$793结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$793结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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