In the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for two seats, recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field where multiple candidates remain competitive for second place. Incumbent Styvenson Valentim leads intention-to-vote surveys, but Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Zenaide Maia (PSD) sit within the margin of error in key surveys, with others such as Sandro Pimentel and Tércio Tinôco registering lower but notable support. Party coalitions, regional voting blocs in Natal and the interior, and limited name recognition among challengers sustain the close contest. No major late shifts or endorsements have yet consolidated the second slot, leaving trader consensus reflecting broad uncertainty until clearer polling trends or primary alignments emerge closer to October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Linhares Jiboia 46%
索尼娅·戈德伊罗 44%
斯蒂文森·瓦伦蒂姆 44%
特尔西奥·蒂诺科 44%

Linhares Jiboia
46%

索尼娅·戈德伊罗
44%

斯蒂文森·瓦伦蒂姆
44%

特尔西奥·蒂诺科
44%

Zenaide Maia
44%

吉列尔梅教授
44%

拉斐尔·莫塔
44%

萨曼达·德·卢拉
44%

罗萨莉娅·费尔南德斯
43%

桑德罗·皮门特尔
41%

卢西亚娜·曼杜
40%

克洛维斯·科斯塔(我们集体)
38%

加里·温德尔·巴蒂斯塔
38%

科罗内尔·赫利奥
37%
Linhares Jiboia 46%
索尼娅·戈德伊罗 44%
斯蒂文森·瓦伦蒂姆 44%
特尔西奥·蒂诺科 44%

Linhares Jiboia
46%

索尼娅·戈德伊罗
44%

斯蒂文森·瓦伦蒂姆
44%

特尔西奥·蒂诺科
44%

Zenaide Maia
44%

吉列尔梅教授
44%

拉斐尔·莫塔
44%

萨曼达·德·卢拉
44%

罗萨莉娅·费尔南德斯
43%

桑德罗·皮门特尔
41%

卢西亚娜·曼杜
40%

克洛维斯·科斯塔(我们集体)
38%

加里·温德尔·巴蒂斯塔
38%

科罗内尔·赫利奥
37%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for two seats, recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field where multiple candidates remain competitive for second place. Incumbent Styvenson Valentim leads intention-to-vote surveys, but Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Zenaide Maia (PSD) sit within the margin of error in key surveys, with others such as Sandro Pimentel and Tércio Tinôco registering lower but notable support. Party coalitions, regional voting blocs in Natal and the interior, and limited name recognition among challengers sustain the close contest. No major late shifts or endorsements have yet consolidated the second slot, leaving trader consensus reflecting broad uncertainty until clearer polling trends or primary alignments emerge closer to October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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