The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two Senate seats features multiple viable contenders from different parties, including Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL), Marcel van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), producing technical ties in recent polls such as Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest. With no incumbent and campaigning only recently intensifying ahead of the October 4 first round, traders price second-place outcomes near parity because small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top tier. Further polling releases, coalition formalizations, or state-specific events within the next weeks could widen gaps among the leading names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢西亚诺·多·MLB 42%
皮门塔 40%
弗雷德里科·安图内斯 39%
马努埃拉·达维拉 39%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢西亚诺·多·MLB
42%
皮门塔
40%
弗雷德里科·安图内斯
39%
马努埃拉·达维拉
39%
马塞尔·范·哈特姆
39%
雷纳托·贾瓜朗
37%
Regis Ethur
37%
Ric Jones
30%
塔尼娅·佩雷斯
29%
丹妮拉·穆列雷斯·索西亚利斯塔斯
29%
米尔顿·卡多索
28%
Rigotto
25%
桑德森
25%
卢西亚诺·多·MLB 42%
皮门塔 40%
弗雷德里科·安图内斯 39%
马努埃拉·达维拉 39%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢西亚诺·多·MLB
$0 交易量
42%
皮门塔
$0 交易量
40%
弗雷德里科·安图内斯
$0 交易量
39%
马努埃拉·达维拉
$0 交易量
39%
马塞尔·范·哈特姆
$0 交易量
39%
雷纳托·贾瓜朗
$0 交易量
37%
Regis Ethur
$0 交易量
37%
Ric Jones
$0 交易量
30%
塔尼娅·佩雷斯
$0 交易量
29%
丹妮拉·穆列雷斯·索西亚利斯塔斯
$0 交易量
29%
米尔顿·卡多索
$0 交易量
28%
Rigotto
$0 交易量
25%
桑德森
$0 交易量
25%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two Senate seats features multiple viable contenders from different parties, including Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL), Marcel van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), producing technical ties in recent polls such as Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest. With no incumbent and campaigning only recently intensifying ahead of the October 4 first round, traders price second-place outcomes near parity because small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top tier. Further polling releases, coalition formalizations, or state-specific events within the next weeks could widen gaps among the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two Senate seats features multiple viable contenders from different parties, including Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL), Marcel van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), producing technical ties in recent polls such as Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest. With no incumbent and campaigning only recently intensifying ahead of the October 4 first round, traders price second-place outcomes near parity because small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top tier. Further polling releases, coalition formalizations, or state-specific events within the next weeks could widen gaps among the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two Senate seats features multiple viable contenders from different parties, including Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL), Marcel van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), producing technical ties in recent polls such as Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest. With no incumbent and campaigning only recently intensifying ahead of the October 4 first round, traders price second-place outcomes near parity because small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top tier. Further polling releases, coalition formalizations, or state-specific events within the next weeks could widen gaps among the leading names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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