Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 45–50%, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) near 23% and Felipe Camarão (PT) around 14%, with Lahesio Bonfim and smaller names trailing. Trader prices remain compressed across frontrunners because the October first round could produce a runoff, alliances are still fluid, and internal MDB–PT tensions—exacerbated by the Brandão family split—could shift endorsements or consolidate support. No major late-breaking developments have reordered the field in the past month, leaving room for convention outcomes, additional polling, or coalition announcements to widen gaps before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱杜阿多·布赖德 45%
奥尔良斯·布朗当 36%
拉赫西奥·邦菲姆 11%
费利佩·卡马朗 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
爱杜阿多·布赖德
45%
奥尔良斯·布朗当
36%
拉赫西奥·邦菲姆
11%
费利佩·卡马朗
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
6%
安德烈·路易斯
4%
爱杜阿多·布赖德 45%
奥尔良斯·布朗当 36%
拉赫西奥·邦菲姆 11%
费利佩·卡马朗 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
爱杜阿多·布赖德
$544 交易量
45%
奥尔良斯·布朗当
$69 交易量
36%
拉赫西奥·邦菲姆
$68 交易量
11%
费利佩·卡马朗
$64 交易量
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 交易量
6%
安德烈·路易斯
$169 交易量
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 45–50%, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) near 23% and Felipe Camarão (PT) around 14%, with Lahesio Bonfim and smaller names trailing. Trader prices remain compressed across frontrunners because the October first round could produce a runoff, alliances are still fluid, and internal MDB–PT tensions—exacerbated by the Brandão family split—could shift endorsements or consolidate support. No major late-breaking developments have reordered the field in the past month, leaving room for convention outcomes, additional polling, or coalition announcements to widen gaps before October.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
交易量
$1,189结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 45–50%, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) near 23% and Felipe Camarão (PT) around 14%, with Lahesio Bonfim and smaller names trailing. Trader prices remain compressed across frontrunners because the October first round could produce a runoff, alliances are still fluid, and internal MDB–PT tensions—exacerbated by the Brandão family split—could shift endorsements or consolidate support. No major late-breaking developments have reordered the field in the past month, leaving room for convention outcomes, additional polling, or coalition announcements to widen gaps before October.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,189结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 45–50%, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) near 23% and Felipe Camarão (PT) around 14%, with Lahesio Bonfim and smaller names trailing. Trader prices remain compressed across frontrunners because the October first round could produce a runoff, alliances are still fluid, and internal MDB–PT tensions—exacerbated by the Brandão family split—could shift endorsements or consolidate support. No major late-breaking developments have reordered the field in the past month, leaving room for convention outcomes, additional polling, or coalition announcements to widen gaps before October.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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