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icon for 里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名

里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名

icon for 里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名

里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名

卢西阿诺·马托斯 81%

马塞洛·克里韦拉 44%

米歇利·沙维尔 43%

贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 29%

Polymarket
最新

卢西阿诺·马托斯 81%

马塞洛·克里韦拉 44%

米歇利·沙维尔 43%

贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 29%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卢西阿诺·马托斯

卢西阿诺·马托斯

$67 交易量

81%

icon for 马塞洛·克里韦拉

马塞洛·克里韦拉

$67 交易量

44%

icon for 米歇利·沙维尔

米歇利·沙维尔

$67 交易量

43%

icon for 贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦

贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦

$87 交易量

29%

icon for 卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥

卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥

$87 交易量

14%

icon for 安德烈·蒙泰罗

安德烈·蒙泰罗

$107 交易量

13%

icon for 卡洛斯·乔尔迪

卡洛斯·乔尔迪

$89 交易量

24%

icon for 马科斯·迪亚斯

马科斯·迪亚斯

$77 交易量

7%

icon for 保拉·法尔考

保拉·法尔考

$93 交易量

7%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$106 交易量

7%

icon for 奥·克莱门特

奥·克莱门特

$75 交易量

7%

icon for 佩德罗·保罗

佩德罗·保罗

$67 交易量

7%

icon for 瓦吉尼奥

瓦吉尼奥

$67 交易量

5%

icon for 莫尼卡·贝尼西奥

莫尼卡·贝尼西奥

$72 交易量

5%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$123 交易量

4%

icon for 埃利奥·塞科

埃利奥·塞科

$93 交易量

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader odds reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear edge. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows an open contest among declared contenders including Mônica Benício (PSOL), Benedita da Silva (PT), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and PL figures Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho, amid shifting alliances and investigations targeting some right-leaning prospects. Female candidates have gained visibility through party tickets and voter blocs, while the two-seat structure and high number of entrants sustain volatility. Upcoming debates and final party consolidations could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,340
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader odds reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear edge. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows an open contest among declared contenders including Mônica Benício (PSOL), Benedita da Silva (PT), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and PL figures Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho, amid shifting alliances and investigations targeting some right-leaning prospects. Female candidates have gained visibility through party tickets and voter blocs, while the two-seat structure and high number of entrants sustain volatility. Upcoming debates and final party consolidations could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,340
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卢西阿诺·马托斯",概率为 41%,其次是"贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦",概率为 29%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名"的当前领先者是"卢西阿诺·马托斯",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。紧随其后的结果是"贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦",概率为 29%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"里约热内卢参议院选举:第一名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。