The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader odds reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear edge. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows an open contest among declared contenders including Mônica Benício (PSOL), Benedita da Silva (PT), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and PL figures Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho, amid shifting alliances and investigations targeting some right-leaning prospects. Female candidates have gained visibility through party tickets and voter blocs, while the two-seat structure and high number of entrants sustain volatility. Upcoming debates and final party consolidations could shift positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢西阿诺·马托斯 81%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 44%
米歇利·沙维尔 43%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 29%

卢西阿诺·马托斯
81%

马塞洛·克里韦拉
44%

米歇利·沙维尔
43%

贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
29%

卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
14%

安德烈·蒙泰罗
13%

卡洛斯·乔尔迪
24%

马科斯·迪亚斯
7%

保拉·法尔考
7%

Vinicius Benevides
7%

奥·克莱门特
7%

佩德罗·保罗
7%

瓦吉尼奥
5%

莫尼卡·贝尼西奥
5%

Luiz Eugenio
4%

埃利奥·塞科
3%
卢西阿诺·马托斯 81%
马塞洛·克里韦拉 44%
米歇利·沙维尔 43%
贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦 29%

卢西阿诺·马托斯
81%

马塞洛·克里韦拉
44%

米歇利·沙维尔
43%

贝尼迪塔·达席尔瓦
29%

卡洛斯·波尔蒂尼奥
14%

安德烈·蒙泰罗
13%

卡洛斯·乔尔迪
24%

马科斯·迪亚斯
7%

保拉·法尔考
7%

Vinicius Benevides
7%

奥·克莱门特
7%

佩德罗·保罗
7%

瓦吉尼奥
5%

莫尼卡·贝尼西奥
5%

Luiz Eugenio
4%

埃利奥·塞科
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader odds reflecting a fragmented field where no candidate has consolidated a clear edge. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows an open contest among declared contenders including Mônica Benício (PSOL), Benedita da Silva (PT), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and PL figures Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho, amid shifting alliances and investigations targeting some right-leaning prospects. Female candidates have gained visibility through party tickets and voter blocs, while the two-seat structure and high number of entrants sustain volatility. Upcoming debates and final party consolidations could shift positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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