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icon for 巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名

巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名

icon for 巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名

巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名

马塞洛·卡瓦略 44%

鲁伊·科斯塔 44%

Carlos Sodré 44%

Gregorio Gould 44%

Polymarket
最新

马塞洛·卡瓦略 44%

鲁伊·科斯塔 44%

Carlos Sodré 44%

Gregorio Gould 44%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 马塞洛·卡瓦略

马塞洛·卡瓦略

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 鲁伊·科斯塔

鲁伊·科斯塔

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 马塞洛·米莱特

马塞洛·米莱特

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 若昂·罗马

若昂·罗马

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 教授德利安娜

教授德利安娜

$0 交易量

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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常见问题

"巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马塞洛·卡瓦略",概率为 45%,其次是"鲁伊·科斯塔",概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名"的当前领先者是"马塞洛·卡瓦略",概率为 45%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"鲁伊·科斯塔",概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"巴伊亚州参议院选举:第一名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。