Recent polls position PT candidates Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner at the top of Bahia’s Senate contest for the two seats renewing on October 4, 2026, leaving the race for second place fragmented among multiple contenders. João Roma (PL), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and others trail closely in third-place measurements, with voter preferences split across party lines in a state where PT maintains a strong base but faces organized opposition. The crowded field, limited differentiation on key issues such as economic development and public security, and absence of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities clustered near even odds. Scheduled debates and final registration adjustments could still shift voter consolidation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jaques Wagner 44%
João Roma 44%
Marcelo Carvalho 44%
Marcelo Millet 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
44%
João Roma
44%
Marcelo Carvalho
44%
Marcelo Millet
44%
Marcelo Santtana
44%
Professora Delliana
44%
Rui Costa
44%
Gregorio Gould
43%
Angelo Coronel
43%
Carlos Sodré
42%
Jaques Wagner 44%
João Roma 44%
Marcelo Carvalho 44%
Marcelo Millet 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Jaques Wagner
$0 交易量
44%
João Roma
$0 交易量
44%
Marcelo Carvalho
$0 交易量
44%
Marcelo Millet
$0 交易量
44%
Marcelo Santtana
$0 交易量
44%
Professora Delliana
$0 交易量
44%
Rui Costa
$0 交易量
44%
Gregorio Gould
$0 交易量
43%
Angelo Coronel
$0 交易量
43%
Carlos Sodré
$0 交易量
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls position PT candidates Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner at the top of Bahia’s Senate contest for the two seats renewing on October 4, 2026, leaving the race for second place fragmented among multiple contenders. João Roma (PL), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and others trail closely in third-place measurements, with voter preferences split across party lines in a state where PT maintains a strong base but faces organized opposition. The crowded field, limited differentiation on key issues such as economic development and public security, and absence of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities clustered near even odds. Scheduled debates and final registration adjustments could still shift voter consolidation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls position PT candidates Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner at the top of Bahia’s Senate contest for the two seats renewing on October 4, 2026, leaving the race for second place fragmented among multiple contenders. João Roma (PL), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and others trail closely in third-place measurements, with voter preferences split across party lines in a state where PT maintains a strong base but faces organized opposition. The crowded field, limited differentiation on key issues such as economic development and public security, and absence of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities clustered near even odds. Scheduled debates and final registration adjustments could still shift voter consolidation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls position PT candidates Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner at the top of Bahia’s Senate contest for the two seats renewing on October 4, 2026, leaving the race for second place fragmented among multiple contenders. João Roma (PL), Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), and others trail closely in third-place measurements, with voter preferences split across party lines in a state where PT maintains a strong base but faces organized opposition. The crowded field, limited differentiation on key issues such as economic development and public security, and absence of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities clustered near even odds. Scheduled debates and final registration adjustments could still shift voter consolidation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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