Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于菲什巴克低于10% 52%
菲什巴克 10–15% 35%
菲什巴克15–20% 9%
菲什巴克30%+ 2.2%
$104,199 交易量
$104,199 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
52%
菲什巴克 10–15%
35%
菲什巴克15–20%
9%
菲什巴克 20–25%
2%
菲什巴克 25–30%
1%
菲什巴克30%+
2%
菲什巴克低于10% 52%
菲什巴克 10–15% 35%
菲什巴克15–20% 9%
菲什巴克30%+ 2.2%
$104,199 交易量
$104,199 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
$73,678 交易量
52%
菲什巴克 10–15%
$9,486 交易量
35%
菲什巴克15–20%
$4,632 交易量
9%
菲什巴克 20–25%
$7,448 交易量
2%
菲什巴克 25–30%
$2,811 交易量
1%
菲什巴克30%+
$6,142 交易量
2%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$104,199结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$104,199结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling, with support in the high 30s to low 50s percent range across multiple surveys conducted in July and early August 2026, while James Fishback registers in the low single digits to low teens. This positioning stems from Donalds’s stronger fundraising, broader name recognition, and endorsements within the party. Fishback, an investment firm founder running on a platform emphasizing conservative pledges including a notarized contract committing to specific policy positions, has remained in single or low double digits despite a July 2026 court ruling rejecting residency challenges that kept him on the August 18 ballot. Traders’ consensus on Fishback’s vote share below 15 percent aligns with these persistent polling trends and the compressed timeline before primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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