The June 2026 special gubernatorial election in Roraima produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique of the Liberal Party (PL) securing over 60% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio of the Republicans, who received roughly 36%. Trader pricing remains clustered near even odds across listed contenders because a pending court ruling on Henrique’s eligibility could alter the certified outcome or trigger a new contest. Recent party conventions confirmed the main candidates, including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires, while procedural deadlines and any appeals now define the resolution timeline. Historical patterns in Brazilian special elections show that eligibility disputes frequently extend final confirmation beyond initial tallies, sustaining the current equilibrium in market assessments until judicial clarity emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿图尔·恩里克 45%
Clébio Genuíno 45%
法拉·梅斯基塔 45%
士兵桑帕约 45%

阿图尔·恩里克
45%

Clébio Genuíno
45%

法拉·梅斯基塔
45%

士兵桑帕约
45%

罗西·艾雷斯
44%
阿图尔·恩里克 45%
Clébio Genuíno 45%
法拉·梅斯基塔 45%
士兵桑帕约 45%

阿图尔·恩里克
45%

Clébio Genuíno
45%

法拉·梅斯基塔
45%

士兵桑帕约
45%

罗西·艾雷斯
44%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 2026 special gubernatorial election in Roraima produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique of the Liberal Party (PL) securing over 60% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio of the Republicans, who received roughly 36%. Trader pricing remains clustered near even odds across listed contenders because a pending court ruling on Henrique’s eligibility could alter the certified outcome or trigger a new contest. Recent party conventions confirmed the main candidates, including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires, while procedural deadlines and any appeals now define the resolution timeline. Historical patterns in Brazilian special elections show that eligibility disputes frequently extend final confirmation beyond initial tallies, sustaining the current equilibrium in market assessments until judicial clarity emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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