The Alagoas gubernatorial race for October 2026 remains tightly contested between Renan Filho (MDB) and JHC (PSDB), with recent Falpe and other polls showing a technical tie or narrow edges amid high undecided shares exceeding 50 percent in spontaneous scenarios. Renan Filho’s formal candidacy announcement and JHC’s confirmation as pre-candidate have intensified polarization, accompanied by mutual criticism on social issues and campaign trail events. Party dynamics, including the PL’s decision not to field its own contender and potential alignment signals toward JHC, add to the fluidity. Trader consensus around even odds reflects these balanced polling trends, voter profiles favoring distinct demographics for each, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the early campaign phase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于JHC 49%
雷南·菲略 49%
马尔西奥·贾姆博 4.0%
Lenilda Luna 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
JHC
49%
雷南·菲略
49%
马尔西奥·贾姆博
4%
Lenilda Luna
4%
JHC 49%
雷南·菲略 49%
马尔西奥·贾姆博 4.0%
Lenilda Luna 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
JHC
$765 交易量
49%
雷南·菲略
$769 交易量
49%
马尔西奥·贾姆博
$133 交易量
4%
Lenilda Luna
$119 交易量
4%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas gubernatorial race for October 2026 remains tightly contested between Renan Filho (MDB) and JHC (PSDB), with recent Falpe and other polls showing a technical tie or narrow edges amid high undecided shares exceeding 50 percent in spontaneous scenarios. Renan Filho’s formal candidacy announcement and JHC’s confirmation as pre-candidate have intensified polarization, accompanied by mutual criticism on social issues and campaign trail events. Party dynamics, including the PL’s decision not to field its own contender and potential alignment signals toward JHC, add to the fluidity. Trader consensus around even odds reflects these balanced polling trends, voter profiles favoring distinct demographics for each, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the early campaign phase.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
交易量
$1,787结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas gubernatorial race for October 2026 remains tightly contested between Renan Filho (MDB) and JHC (PSDB), with recent Falpe and other polls showing a technical tie or narrow edges amid high undecided shares exceeding 50 percent in spontaneous scenarios. Renan Filho’s formal candidacy announcement and JHC’s confirmation as pre-candidate have intensified polarization, accompanied by mutual criticism on social issues and campaign trail events. Party dynamics, including the PL’s decision not to field its own contender and potential alignment signals toward JHC, add to the fluidity. Trader consensus around even odds reflects these balanced polling trends, voter profiles favoring distinct demographics for each, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the early campaign phase.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,787结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial race for October 2026 remains tightly contested between Renan Filho (MDB) and JHC (PSDB), with recent Falpe and other polls showing a technical tie or narrow edges amid high undecided shares exceeding 50 percent in spontaneous scenarios. Renan Filho’s formal candidacy announcement and JHC’s confirmation as pre-candidate have intensified polarization, accompanied by mutual criticism on social issues and campaign trail events. Party dynamics, including the PL’s decision not to field its own contender and potential alignment signals toward JHC, add to the fluidity. Trader consensus around even odds reflects these balanced polling trends, voter profiles favoring distinct demographics for each, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the early campaign phase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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