Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position in the Amapá Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 60% or higher in stimulated scenarios against a fragmented field. Her candidacy, officially launched that month, benefits from high name recognition tied to the Furlan political network, including her husband’s concurrent gubernatorial bid. Other contenders such as Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and João Capiberibe (PSB) remain clustered well behind in the low-to-mid 30s or lower, with no single challenger consolidating support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus reflects this polling gap and limited movement in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rayssa Furlan 52%
兰多菲 46%
法官Jô 45%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 44%

Rayssa Furlan
52%

兰多菲
46%

法官Jô
45%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
44%

乌兹安·平托教授
44%

Alliny Serrão
42%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
24%

卡皮
22%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
22%
Rayssa Furlan 52%
兰多菲 46%
法官Jô 45%
卢卡斯·巴雷托 44%

Rayssa Furlan
52%

兰多菲
46%

法官Jô
45%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
44%

乌兹安·平托教授
44%

Alliny Serrão
42%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
24%

卡皮
22%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position in the Amapá Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 60% or higher in stimulated scenarios against a fragmented field. Her candidacy, officially launched that month, benefits from high name recognition tied to the Furlan political network, including her husband’s concurrent gubernatorial bid. Other contenders such as Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and João Capiberibe (PSB) remain clustered well behind in the low-to-mid 30s or lower, with no single challenger consolidating support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus reflects this polling gap and limited movement in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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