Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃尔德 70%
Breno Guimarães 29%
威廉·达席尔瓦 27%
Chicão 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔德
68%
Breno Guimarães
29%
威廉·达席尔瓦
27%
Chicão
24%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
18%
埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
21%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
19%
Conti
12%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
7%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
20%
塞尔索·萨比诺
29%
埃尔德 70%
Breno Guimarães 29%
威廉·达席尔瓦 27%
Chicão 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃尔德
$168 交易量
68%
Breno Guimarães
$40 交易量
29%
威廉·达席尔瓦
$92 交易量
27%
Chicão
$40 交易量
24%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
$80 交易量
18%
埃德莱妮·罗德里格斯
$40 交易量
21%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
$40 交易量
19%
Conti
$103 交易量
12%
吉泽尔·弗雷塔斯
$83 交易量
7%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
$40 交易量
20%
塞尔索·萨比诺
$40 交易量
29%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$766结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$766结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题