Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Breno Guimarães 46%
塞尔索·萨比诺 45%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥 45%
费尔南达·洛佩斯 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Breno Guimarães
46%
塞尔索·萨比诺
45%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
45%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
42%
吉泽莱·弗雷塔斯
42%
Chicão
41%
Edlaine Rodrigues
41%
威廉·达席尔瓦
29%
埃尔德
28%
康蒂
27%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
25%
Breno Guimarães 46%
塞尔索·萨比诺 45%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥 45%
费尔南达·洛佩斯 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Breno Guimarães
$0 交易量
46%
塞尔索·萨比诺
$0 交易量
45%
泽基尼亚·马里尼奥
$0 交易量
45%
费尔南达·洛佩斯
$0 交易量
42%
吉泽莱·弗雷塔斯
$0 交易量
42%
Chicão
$0 交易量
41%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$0 交易量
41%
威廉·达席尔瓦
$0 交易量
29%
埃尔德
$0 交易量
28%
康蒂
$0 交易量
27%
代表埃德尔·毛罗
$0 交易量
25%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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