In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, the market for second place remains tightly clustered because multiple established figures—including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto—compete alongside rising contenders such as Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão, and Acácio Favacho in a fragmented field. Recent polling shows Rayssa leading overall while the next tier sits within single digits, reflecting local coalition dynamics tied to Governor Clécio Luís and cross-party alliances that have yet to consolidate support. The official campaign launch just days ago has limited opportunities for differentiation, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, regional turnout patterns, or further alliance negotiations before October voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于乌兹安·平托教授 45%
兰多尔夫 45%
雷萨·弗尔兰 45%
Alliny Serrão 45%

乌兹安·平托教授
45%

兰多尔夫
45%

雷萨·弗尔兰
45%

Alliny Serrão
45%

Capi
45%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
44%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
43%

法官Jô
41%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
41%
乌兹安·平托教授 45%
兰多尔夫 45%
雷萨·弗尔兰 45%
Alliny Serrão 45%

乌兹安·平托教授
45%

兰多尔夫
45%

雷萨·弗尔兰
45%

Alliny Serrão
45%

Capi
45%

赫利奥·席尔瓦
44%

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔
43%

法官Jô
41%

卢卡斯·巴雷托
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, the market for second place remains tightly clustered because multiple established figures—including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto—compete alongside rising contenders such as Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão, and Acácio Favacho in a fragmented field. Recent polling shows Rayssa leading overall while the next tier sits within single digits, reflecting local coalition dynamics tied to Governor Clécio Luís and cross-party alliances that have yet to consolidate support. The official campaign launch just days ago has limited opportunities for differentiation, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, regional turnout patterns, or further alliance negotiations before October voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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