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icon for 阿马帕参议院选举:第二名

阿马帕参议院选举:第二名

icon for 阿马帕参议院选举:第二名

阿马帕参议院选举:第二名

乌兹安·平托教授 45%

兰多尔夫 45%

雷萨·弗尔兰 45%

Alliny Serrão 45%

Polymarket
最新

乌兹安·平托教授 45%

兰多尔夫 45%

雷萨·弗尔兰 45%

Alliny Serrão 45%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 乌兹安·平托教授

乌兹安·平托教授

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 兰多尔夫

兰多尔夫

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 雷萨·弗尔兰

雷萨·弗尔兰

$0 交易量

45%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$0 交易量

45%

icon for Capi

Capi

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 赫利奥·席尔瓦

赫利奥·席尔瓦

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 阿卡西奥·法瓦乔

阿卡西奥·法瓦乔

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 法官Jô

法官Jô

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 卢卡斯·巴雷托

卢卡斯·巴雷托

$0 交易量

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, the market for second place remains tightly clustered because multiple established figures—including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto—compete alongside rising contenders such as Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão, and Acácio Favacho in a fragmented field. Recent polling shows Rayssa leading overall while the next tier sits within single digits, reflecting local coalition dynamics tied to Governor Clécio Luís and cross-party alliances that have yet to consolidate support. The official campaign launch just days ago has limited opportunities for differentiation, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, regional turnout patterns, or further alliance negotiations before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two representatives, the market for second place remains tightly clustered because multiple established figures—including incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto—compete alongside rising contenders such as Rayssa Furlan, Alliny Serrão, and Acácio Favacho in a fragmented field. Recent polling shows Rayssa leading overall while the next tier sits within single digits, reflecting local coalition dynamics tied to Governor Clécio Luís and cross-party alliances that have yet to consolidate support. The official campaign launch just days ago has limited opportunities for differentiation, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, regional turnout patterns, or further alliance negotiations before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿马帕参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"乌兹安·平托教授",概率为 45%,其次是"兰多尔夫",概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"阿马帕参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"阿马帕参议院选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿马帕参议院选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"乌兹安·平托教授",概率为 45%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"兰多尔夫",概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿马帕参议院选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。