São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃莉安娜·费雷拉博士 45%
韦勒·贡萨尔维斯 44%
Ednelson Cesaretti 43%
Geraldo Rufino 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃莉安娜·费雷拉博士
45%
韦勒·贡萨尔维斯
44%
Ednelson Cesaretti
43%
Geraldo Rufino
43%
威廉·特谢拉
43%
吉列尔梅·德里特
43%
Maíra de Souza
43%
索尼尼娅·弗兰辛
43%
安德烈·杜·普拉多
43%
玛丽娜·席尔瓦
42%
萨莱斯
41%
西蒙妮·特贝特
39%
彼得·马斯
25%
马尔西奥·阿尔维斯
8%
埃莉安娜·费雷拉博士 45%
韦勒·贡萨尔维斯 44%
Ednelson Cesaretti 43%
Geraldo Rufino 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
埃莉安娜·费雷拉博士
$0 交易量
45%
韦勒·贡萨尔维斯
$0 交易量
44%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$0 交易量
43%
Geraldo Rufino
$0 交易量
43%
威廉·特谢拉
$0 交易量
43%
吉列尔梅·德里特
$0 交易量
43%
Maíra de Souza
$0 交易量
43%
索尼尼娅·弗兰辛
$0 交易量
43%
安德烈·杜·普拉多
$0 交易量
43%
玛丽娜·席尔瓦
$0 交易量
42%
萨莱斯
$0 交易量
41%
西蒙妮·特贝特
$0 交易量
39%
彼得·马斯
$0 交易量
25%
马尔西奥·阿尔维斯
$20 交易量
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题