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icon for 圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名

圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名

icon for 圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名

圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名

卢内利 46%

玛琳妮·索卡斯 44%

埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明 43%

卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗 43%

Polymarket
最新

卢内利 46%

玛琳妮·索卡斯 44%

埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明 43%

卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗 43%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卢内利

卢内利

$0 交易量

46%

icon for 玛琳妮·索卡斯

玛琳妮·索卡斯

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明

埃斯佩里迪昂·阿明

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗

卡洛斯·博尔索纳罗

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 马科斯·多瓦尔

马科斯·多瓦尔

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 卡罗尔·德·托尼

卡罗尔·德·托尼

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷

阿弗拉尼奥·博普雷

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 卡萝

卡萝

$0 交易量

40%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$0 交易量

28%

icon for 图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特

图利奥·德·阿莫林·普富岑赖特

$0 交易量

28%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$0 交易量

27%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$0 交易量

26%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卢内利",概率为 46%,其次是"玛琳妮·索卡斯",概率为 44%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"卢内利",概率为 46%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"玛琳妮·索卡斯",概率为 44%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"圣卡塔琳娜州参议院选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。