In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Marcos Dorval 43%
Lunelli 43%
Esperidião Amin 42%
Décio Lima 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marcos Dorval
43%
Lunelli
43%
Esperidião Amin
42%
Décio Lima
37%
Marlene Soccas
36%
Carol de Toni
28%
Joaninha de Oliveira
26%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
26%
Jeferson da Rocha
25%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
22%
Carol
21%
Carlos Bolsonaro
21%
Afrânio Boppré
34%
Marcos Dorval 43%
Lunelli 43%
Esperidião Amin 42%
Décio Lima 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marcos Dorval
$16 交易量
43%
Lunelli
$16 交易量
43%
Esperidião Amin
$16 交易量
42%
Décio Lima
$16 交易量
37%
Marlene Soccas
$16 交易量
36%
Carol de Toni
$16 交易量
28%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$16 交易量
26%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$16 交易量
26%
Jeferson da Rocha
$16 交易量
25%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$16 交易量
22%
Carol
$16 交易量
21%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$16 交易量
21%
Afrânio Boppré
$32 交易量
34%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$224结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$224结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题