Recent Datafolha and Atlas polls show a tight multi-candidate contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered near the top at roughly 20-26% each. The race remains competitive because no single contender has consolidated support across the state’s diverse electorate ahead of the October vote, while lesser-known names trail well behind. Candidacy registrations closed on August 15 with several withdrawals, including Eunício Oliveira and Priscila Costa, narrowing the field but leaving the frontrunners statistically tied. Traders price the top three candidates within a few points of each other, reflecting the narrow polling margins and absence of a decisive late shift. Upcoming campaign events and any further party realignments could still reorder the standings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 36%
卢伊齐安妮 24%
西德·戈麦斯 23%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 22%

阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
36%

卢伊齐安妮
24%

西德·戈麦斯
23%

卡皮唐·瓦格纳
22%

Lino Alves
9%

卡塔丽娜·马托斯
7%

雷吉纳尔多
7%

吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
6%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 36%
卢伊齐安妮 24%
西德·戈麦斯 23%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 22%

阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
36%

卢伊齐安妮
24%

西德·戈麦斯
23%

卡皮唐·瓦格纳
22%

Lino Alves
9%

卡塔丽娜·马托斯
7%

雷吉纳尔多
7%

吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Datafolha and Atlas polls show a tight multi-candidate contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered near the top at roughly 20-26% each. The race remains competitive because no single contender has consolidated support across the state’s diverse electorate ahead of the October vote, while lesser-known names trail well behind. Candidacy registrations closed on August 15 with several withdrawals, including Eunício Oliveira and Priscila Costa, narrowing the field but leaving the frontrunners statistically tied. Traders price the top three candidates within a few points of each other, reflecting the narrow polling margins and absence of a decisive late shift. Upcoming campaign events and any further party realignments could still reorder the standings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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