Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 44%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 44%
西德·戈梅斯 44%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
44%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
44%
西德·戈梅斯
44%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
44%
Lino Alves
44%
Luizianne
44%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
44%
雷吉纳尔多
44%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯 44%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 44%
西德·戈梅斯 44%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
$0 交易量
44%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
$0 交易量
44%
西德·戈梅斯
$0 交易量
44%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
$0 交易量
44%
Lino Alves
$0 交易量
44%
Luizianne
$0 交易量
44%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
$0 交易量
44%
雷吉纳尔多
$0 交易量
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Ceará Senate race shows a tight contest among Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the two seats, with August surveys placing the top three within a few points of each other and Alcides Fernandes trailing but still relevant. The fragmented field, split between Lula-aligned and opposition candidates, combined with high undecided shares, sustains even probabilities for second place across multiple contenders. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional survey releases, or last-minute alliances could reorder the standings before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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