The Pernambuco Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with polls showing Marília Arraes (PDT) in front for one vacancy while a crowded field competes for the other. Recent candidate registrations, shifting party alliances, and limited polling since April have kept multiple contenders—including Mendonça Filho (PL), Humberto Costa (PT), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha—within striking distance, preventing any single challenger from pulling ahead. Voter fragmentation across ideological lines and the dual-vote system for two seats amplify uncertainty. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with several names clustered near even odds for second place. Key upcoming factors include further alliance announcements and any late polling that could clarify momentum among the top half-dozen contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于吉尔万·科斯塔牧师 44%
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥 44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥 44%
图利奥·加德利亚 44%

吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
44%

保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
44%

萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
44%

图利奥·加德利亚
44%

马里亚诺·马塞多
42%

卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
41%

爱德华多·达丰特
41%

马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
41%

Mendonça Filho
41%

戈雷特·比图
41%

洪贝托·科斯塔
41%

Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师 44%
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥 44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥 44%
图利奥·加德利亚 44%

吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
44%

保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
44%

萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
44%

图利奥·加德利亚
44%

马里亚诺·马塞多
42%

卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
41%

爱德华多·达丰特
41%

马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
41%

Mendonça Filho
41%

戈雷特·比图
41%

洪贝托·科斯塔
41%

Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, with polls showing Marília Arraes (PDT) in front for one vacancy while a crowded field competes for the other. Recent candidate registrations, shifting party alliances, and limited polling since April have kept multiple contenders—including Mendonça Filho (PL), Humberto Costa (PT), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha—within striking distance, preventing any single challenger from pulling ahead. Voter fragmentation across ideological lines and the dual-vote system for two seats amplify uncertainty. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with several names clustered near even odds for second place. Key upcoming factors include further alliance announcements and any late polling that could clarify momentum among the top half-dozen contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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