Lula maintains a lead in trader consensus for first place in Amazonas' October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state's interior municipalities and historical patterns favoring the incumbent PT candidate there. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest from late August, show Lula at 38-40% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the pair capturing the vast majority of intentions while others like Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury remain in single digits. An early September AtlasIntel poll indicated a narrow Flávio edge, yet traders appear to weigh Lula's broader regional base and incumbency more heavily. Fringe candidates register negligible support, keeping probabilities low. The race remains competitive within margins of error ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 68%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 32%
Clariana Barao <1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔 <1%
$24,619 交易量
$24,619 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
68%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
32%
Clariana Barao
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫兹·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
泽马
<1%
卢拉 68%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 32%
Clariana Barao <1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔 <1%
$24,619 交易量
$24,619 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$7,784 交易量
68%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$8,282 交易量
32%
Clariana Barao
$823 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$729 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$571 交易量
<1%
赫兹·迪亚斯
$747 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$836 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$1,149 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$751 交易量
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$542 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$908 交易量
<1%
泽马
$641 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a lead in trader consensus for first place in Amazonas' October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state's interior municipalities and historical patterns favoring the incumbent PT candidate there. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest from late August, show Lula at 38-40% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the pair capturing the vast majority of intentions while others like Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury remain in single digits. An early September AtlasIntel poll indicated a narrow Flávio edge, yet traders appear to weigh Lula's broader regional base and incumbency more heavily. Fringe candidates register negligible support, keeping probabilities low. The race remains competitive within margins of error ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
交易量
$24,619结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a lead in trader consensus for first place in Amazonas' October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state's interior municipalities and historical patterns favoring the incumbent PT candidate there. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest from late August, show Lula at 38-40% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the pair capturing the vast majority of intentions while others like Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury remain in single digits. An early September AtlasIntel poll indicated a narrow Flávio edge, yet traders appear to weigh Lula's broader regional base and incumbency more heavily. Fringe candidates register negligible support, keeping probabilities low. The race remains competitive within margins of error ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$24,619结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETLula maintains a lead in trader consensus for first place in Amazonas' October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling advantages in the state's interior municipalities and historical patterns favoring the incumbent PT candidate there. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest from late August, show Lula at 38-40% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the pair capturing the vast majority of intentions while others like Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury remain in single digits. An early September AtlasIntel poll indicated a narrow Flávio edge, yet traders appear to weigh Lula's broader regional base and incumbency more heavily. Fringe candidates register negligible support, keeping probabilities low. The race remains competitive within margins of error ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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