Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds the strongest position in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling leads of 60-70% in recent surveys, well ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (UNIÃO) and lower-polling contenders such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui. His early official candidacy registration, PSD nomination, and launch of the 2026 campaign have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent attempts to challenge his eligibility have not shifted the race dynamics, while his regional support in key areas like Macapá and Santana underpins the wide margin in implied probabilities. The market reflects a clear leader with limited near-term catalysts expected to narrow the gap before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗尔兰博士 84%
马科斯·雷塔吉 11.9%
克雷西奥·路易斯 12%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 11.5%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗尔兰博士
84%
马科斯·雷塔吉
15%
克雷西奥·路易斯
12%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
11%
卡洛斯·克莱
9%
弗尔兰博士 84%
马科斯·雷塔吉 11.9%
克雷西奥·路易斯 12%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 11.5%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗尔兰博士
$162 交易量
84%
马科斯·雷塔吉
$80 交易量
15%
克雷西奥·路易斯
$40 交易量
12%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
$40 交易量
11%
卡洛斯·克莱
$40 交易量
9%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds the strongest position in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling leads of 60-70% in recent surveys, well ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (UNIÃO) and lower-polling contenders such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui. His early official candidacy registration, PSD nomination, and launch of the 2026 campaign have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent attempts to challenge his eligibility have not shifted the race dynamics, while his regional support in key areas like Macapá and Santana underpins the wide margin in implied probabilities. The market reflects a clear leader with limited near-term catalysts expected to narrow the gap before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
交易量
$362结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds the strongest position in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling leads of 60-70% in recent surveys, well ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (UNIÃO) and lower-polling contenders such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui. His early official candidacy registration, PSD nomination, and launch of the 2026 campaign have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent attempts to challenge his eligibility have not shifted the race dynamics, while his regional support in key areas like Macapá and Santana underpins the wide margin in implied probabilities. The market reflects a clear leader with limited near-term catalysts expected to narrow the gap before election day.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$362结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds the strongest position in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling leads of 60-70% in recent surveys, well ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (UNIÃO) and lower-polling contenders such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui. His early official candidacy registration, PSD nomination, and launch of the 2026 campaign have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent attempts to challenge his eligibility have not shifted the race dynamics, while his regional support in key areas like Macapá and Santana underpins the wide margin in implied probabilities. The market reflects a clear leader with limited near-term catalysts expected to narrow the gap before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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