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icon for 阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名

阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名

icon for 阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名

阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名

亚历山大·弗莱明 42%

阿图尔·利拉 42%

玛丽娜·JHC 41%

雷南 41%

Polymarket
最新

亚历山大·弗莱明 42%

阿图尔·利拉 42%

玛丽娜·JHC 41%

雷南 41%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 亚历山大·弗莱明

亚历山大·弗莱明

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 阿图尔·利拉

阿图尔·利拉

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 玛丽娜·JHC

玛丽娜·JHC

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 雷南

雷南

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 达维·达维诺·菲略

达维·达维诺·菲略

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Wanderley博士

Wanderley博士

$0 交易量

40%

icon for 马里埃德森

马里埃德森

$0 交易量

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for the two open seats remains highly competitive, with no candidate establishing a clear lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of pre-candidates including Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, and several others. Recent formalization of slates—such as the JHC-aligned group backing Lira and Marina while shifting focus to the gubernatorial contest—has reinforced fragmented support bases across parties like PP, PSDB, and MDB. Limited recent polling highlights close head-to-head dynamics between established figures like Renan and Lira, with voter preferences still fluid ahead of party conventions and the October election. Developments such as alliance negotiations, candidate asset disclosures, or shifts in federal alignments could consolidate votes and create separation among the top contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for the two open seats remains highly competitive, with no candidate establishing a clear lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of pre-candidates including Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, and several others. Recent formalization of slates—such as the JHC-aligned group backing Lira and Marina while shifting focus to the gubernatorial contest—has reinforced fragmented support bases across parties like PP, PSDB, and MDB. Limited recent polling highlights close head-to-head dynamics between established figures like Renan and Lira, with voter preferences still fluid ahead of party conventions and the October election. Developments such as alliance negotiations, candidate asset disclosures, or shifts in federal alignments could consolidate votes and create separation among the top contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚历山大·弗莱明",概率为 42%,其次是"阿图尔·利拉",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名"的当前领先者是"亚历山大·弗莱明",概率为 42%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"阿图尔·利拉",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿拉戈斯州参议院选举:第一名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。