The Alagoas Senate race for the two open seats remains highly competitive, with no candidate establishing a clear lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of pre-candidates including Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, and several others. Recent formalization of slates—such as the JHC-aligned group backing Lira and Marina while shifting focus to the gubernatorial contest—has reinforced fragmented support bases across parties like PP, PSDB, and MDB. Limited recent polling highlights close head-to-head dynamics between established figures like Renan and Lira, with voter preferences still fluid ahead of party conventions and the October election. Developments such as alliance negotiations, candidate asset disclosures, or shifts in federal alignments could consolidate votes and create separation among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚历山大·弗莱明 42%
阿图尔·利拉 42%
玛丽娜·JHC 41%
雷南 41%

亚历山大·弗莱明
42%

阿图尔·利拉
42%

玛丽娜·JHC
41%

雷南
41%

达维·达维诺·菲略
41%

Wanderley博士
40%

马里埃德森
40%
亚历山大·弗莱明 42%
阿图尔·利拉 42%
玛丽娜·JHC 41%
雷南 41%

亚历山大·弗莱明
42%

阿图尔·利拉
42%

玛丽娜·JHC
41%

雷南
41%

达维·达维诺·菲略
41%

Wanderley博士
40%

马里埃德森
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas Senate race for the two open seats remains highly competitive, with no candidate establishing a clear lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of pre-candidates including Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, Renan Calheiros, and several others. Recent formalization of slates—such as the JHC-aligned group backing Lira and Marina while shifting focus to the gubernatorial contest—has reinforced fragmented support bases across parties like PP, PSDB, and MDB. Limited recent polling highlights close head-to-head dynamics between established figures like Renan and Lira, with voter preferences still fluid ahead of party conventions and the October election. Developments such as alliance negotiations, candidate asset disclosures, or shifts in federal alignments could consolidate votes and create separation among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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