Lula maintains a commanding position as the leading candidate for Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by his status as incumbent and consistent polling leads of 37% in the latest Quaest survey. Flavio Bolsonaro trails at around 29-30% as the main right-wing challenger, with the gap narrowing due to economic pressures and ongoing investigations involving the president's family. Augusto Cury has risen to third at 10% through media exposure, while other contenders like Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remain in low single digits. The start of official campaign broadcasts has reinforced Lula's frontrunner status in a crowded field where no candidate approaches a first-round majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 86%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 15%
作家奥古斯托·库里 <1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 <1%
$14,621 交易量
$14,621 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
86%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
15%
作家奥古斯托·库里
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
克拉里亚纳·巴劳
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
萨玛拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
泽马
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
<1%
卢拉 86%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 15%
作家奥古斯托·库里 <1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 <1%
$14,621 交易量
$14,621 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$6,534 交易量
86%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$2,544 交易量
15%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$1,095 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$820 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$785 交易量
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$477 交易量
<1%
克拉里亚纳·巴劳
$288 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$296 交易量
<1%
萨玛拉
$296 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$316 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$259 交易量
<1%
泽马
$546 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$366 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position as the leading candidate for Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by his status as incumbent and consistent polling leads of 37% in the latest Quaest survey. Flavio Bolsonaro trails at around 29-30% as the main right-wing challenger, with the gap narrowing due to economic pressures and ongoing investigations involving the president's family. Augusto Cury has risen to third at 10% through media exposure, while other contenders like Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remain in low single digits. The start of official campaign broadcasts has reinforced Lula's frontrunner status in a crowded field where no candidate approaches a first-round majority.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
交易量
$14,621结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position as the leading candidate for Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by his status as incumbent and consistent polling leads of 37% in the latest Quaest survey. Flavio Bolsonaro trails at around 29-30% as the main right-wing challenger, with the gap narrowing due to economic pressures and ongoing investigations involving the president's family. Augusto Cury has risen to third at 10% through media exposure, while other contenders like Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remain in low single digits. The start of official campaign broadcasts has reinforced Lula's frontrunner status in a crowded field where no candidate approaches a first-round majority.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$14,621结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETLula maintains a commanding position as the leading candidate for Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by his status as incumbent and consistent polling leads of 37% in the latest Quaest survey. Flavio Bolsonaro trails at around 29-30% as the main right-wing challenger, with the gap narrowing due to economic pressures and ongoing investigations involving the president's family. Augusto Cury has risen to third at 10% through media exposure, while other contenders like Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema remain in low single digits. The start of official campaign broadcasts has reinforced Lula's frontrunner status in a crowded field where no candidate approaches a first-round majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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