The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eduardo Amorim 27%
Paulinho da União Tur 25%
Delegado André David 23%
Rogerio Carvalho 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Amorim
27%
Paulinho da União Tur
25%
Delegado André David
23%
Rogerio Carvalho
23%
Edvaldo
23%
Rodrigo Valadares
23%
André Moura
22%
Renatinha
22%
Coronel Rocha
22%
Iran Barbosa
22%
Delegado Alessandro
19%
Eduardo Amorim 27%
Paulinho da União Tur 25%
Delegado André David 23%
Rogerio Carvalho 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Amorim
$0 交易量
27%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 交易量
25%
Delegado André David
$0 交易量
23%
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 交易量
23%
Edvaldo
$0 交易量
23%
Rodrigo Valadares
$0 交易量
23%
André Moura
$0 交易量
22%
Renatinha
$0 交易量
22%
Coronel Rocha
$0 交易量
22%
Iran Barbosa
$0 交易量
22%
Delegado Alessandro
$0 交易量
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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