The 79% trader consensus that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a justice on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court reflects the Senate's repeated failure to advance any impeachment proceedings to the required two-thirds majority, a threshold never met for removal in the modern era. Despite ongoing opposition criticism over his rulings on digital platforms and recent high-profile cases, including his May 9 suspension of legislation that could shorten sentences for those convicted in the January 8 events, institutional checks and Senate leadership control of the calendar have kept momentum stalled. U.S. diplomatic pressure has also eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, reducing external catalysts. These structural and procedural barriers continue to outweigh calls for accountability, keeping removal a low-probability outcome through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$27,474 交易量
$27,474 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$27,474 交易量
$27,474 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 79% trader consensus that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a justice on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court reflects the Senate's repeated failure to advance any impeachment proceedings to the required two-thirds majority, a threshold never met for removal in the modern era. Despite ongoing opposition criticism over his rulings on digital platforms and recent high-profile cases, including his May 9 suspension of legislation that could shorten sentences for those convicted in the January 8 events, institutional checks and Senate leadership control of the calendar have kept momentum stalled. U.S. diplomatic pressure has also eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, reducing external catalysts. These structural and procedural barriers continue to outweigh calls for accountability, keeping removal a low-probability outcome through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$27,474结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 79% trader consensus that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a justice on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court reflects the Senate's repeated failure to advance any impeachment proceedings to the required two-thirds majority, a threshold never met for removal in the modern era. Despite ongoing opposition criticism over his rulings on digital platforms and recent high-profile cases, including his May 9 suspension of legislation that could shorten sentences for those convicted in the January 8 events, institutional checks and Senate leadership control of the calendar have kept momentum stalled. U.S. diplomatic pressure has also eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, reducing external catalysts. These structural and procedural barriers continue to outweigh calls for accountability, keeping removal a low-probability outcome through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,474结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 79% trader consensus that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a justice on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court reflects the Senate's repeated failure to advance any impeachment proceedings to the required two-thirds majority, a threshold never met for removal in the modern era. Despite ongoing opposition criticism over his rulings on digital platforms and recent high-profile cases, including his May 9 suspension of legislation that could shorten sentences for those convicted in the January 8 events, institutional checks and Senate leadership control of the calendar have kept momentum stalled. U.S. diplomatic pressure has also eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, reducing external catalysts. These structural and procedural barriers continue to outweigh calls for accountability, keeping removal a low-probability outcome through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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