Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于90-114 100.0%
少于40条 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 交易量
$1,030,071 交易量
2026-08-22
少于40条
否
40-64
否
65-89
否
90-114
是
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
否
215-239
否
240条以上
否
90-114 100.0%
少于40条 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 交易量
$1,030,071 交易量
2026-08-22
少于40条
$86,250 交易量
否
40-64
$95,869 交易量
否
65-89
$186,085 交易量
否
90-114
$139,873 交易量
是
115-139
$258,901 交易量
否
140-164
$150,215 交易量
否
165-189
$64,248 交易量
否
190-214
$15,704 交易量
否
215-239
$14,122 交易量
否
240条以上
$18,803 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,030,071结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,030,071结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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