**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to demonstrate exceptional theatrical legs into its eighth weekend, with trader sentiment heavily favoring a $6 million-plus gross at 99.1% implied probability. The film’s record domestic haul—now exceeding $940 million after its massive $360 million opening and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days—reflects sustained audience demand driven by strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and positive critical reception for its emotional reset and action set pieces. Limited September competition and the movie’s proven holdover strength across prior weekends further support the consensus that it will comfortably clear the top threshold. An upset below $6 million would require an unusually sharp drop, such as unforeseen competition or external events disrupting attendance, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters make that scenario remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》第八周末票房
《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》第八周末票房
600万+ 99.0%
500万-550万 1.9%
450万-500万 <1%
少于400万 <1%
$43,148 交易量
$43,148 交易量
2026-09-20
少于400万
<1%
400万-450万
<1%
450万-500万
1%
500万-550万
2%
5.5-6百万
<1%
600万+
99%
600万+ 99.0%
500万-550万 1.9%
450万-500万 <1%
少于400万 <1%
$43,148 交易量
$43,148 交易量
2026-09-20
少于400万
$1,029 交易量
<1%
400万-450万
$901 交易量
<1%
450万-500万
$3,972 交易量
1%
500万-550万
$4,299 交易量
2%
5.5-6百万
$8,363 交易量
<1%
600万+
$24,583 交易量
99%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to demonstrate exceptional theatrical legs into its eighth weekend, with trader sentiment heavily favoring a $6 million-plus gross at 99.1% implied probability. The film’s record domestic haul—now exceeding $940 million after its massive $360 million opening and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days—reflects sustained audience demand driven by strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and positive critical reception for its emotional reset and action set pieces. Limited September competition and the movie’s proven holdover strength across prior weekends further support the consensus that it will comfortably clear the top threshold. An upset below $6 million would require an unusually sharp drop, such as unforeseen competition or external events disrupting attendance, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters make that scenario remote.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$43,148结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to demonstrate exceptional theatrical legs into its eighth weekend, with trader sentiment heavily favoring a $6 million-plus gross at 99.1% implied probability. The film’s record domestic haul—now exceeding $940 million after its massive $360 million opening and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days—reflects sustained audience demand driven by strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and positive critical reception for its emotional reset and action set pieces. Limited September competition and the movie’s proven holdover strength across prior weekends further support the consensus that it will comfortably clear the top threshold. An upset below $6 million would require an unusually sharp drop, such as unforeseen competition or external events disrupting attendance, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters make that scenario remote.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$43,148结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to demonstrate exceptional theatrical legs into its eighth weekend, with trader sentiment heavily favoring a $6 million-plus gross at 99.1% implied probability. The film’s record domestic haul—now exceeding $940 million after its massive $360 million opening and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days—reflects sustained audience demand driven by strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and positive critical reception for its emotional reset and action set pieces. Limited September competition and the movie’s proven holdover strength across prior weekends further support the consensus that it will comfortably clear the top threshold. An upset below $6 million would require an unusually sharp drop, such as unforeseen competition or external events disrupting attendance, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters make that scenario remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题